It's only now beginning to dawn on pundits that John Dorsey mistake Olivier Vernon and his 15.5 mil salary are as good as gone.
The Vernon/Beckham hosing trade was really the icing on the cake, as John Dorsey kicked Nassib and Ogbah to the curb as soon as he got here in 2018, and drafted Chad Thomas (a "real football player", I assume) to replace them.
And here we go: Nassib and Ogbah are both available!
I just looked up Chad Thomas on PFF and almost lost my lunch. Ogbah, meanwhile, scored 70.1 overall, and was about that good vs the pass and the run. (Nassib was in the high 60s, and better vs the run than vs the pass).
Andrew Gribble listed most of the available free agent EDGE guys (a week ago--some may be franchised or re-signed by their teams).
Peter Smith thinks former 1st round pick Shaq Lawson makes sense.
PFF ranks Lawson with Nassib, except with the pass/run rankings reversed.
(All these numbers for Nassib and Lawson are around 4 points lower than Ogbah's...)
Peter is much better than I am at evaluating players, and he may see something in Lawson that the numbers don't show. Smith is also thinking about contracts and cap consequences, so might expect Ogbah to cost too much.
But guess who my favorite free agent EDGE guy is.
Bud Dupree looks better as a passrusher, but his price could get rediculous. Dupree is the best non-geezer second tier guy (stellar scores on PFF).
Ogbah is kinda Dupree light, see?
The top guys are not realistic targets in an inflated market. The oldest of them still got it...sorta...but would only be one-year bandaids for the Browns...I keep circling back to Emmanuel Ogbah here.
If not Dupree, then Ogbah. Maybe even Dupree and Ogbah.
Dupree is actually a lot like Olivier Vernon, see? (Except younger and more durable, of course).
To lock him down long-term might cost 70 mil over 4 years per some estimates (with at least 10 mil as a bonus in year 1 to mitigate the annual salary over...nevermind but the average salary after the bonus would actually be less than what Vernon costs...if you ask, I will answer. So don't ask).
Dupree is a "linebacker" for the Steelers. That's not critical as he's Ogbah-sized and puts his hand in the dirt sometimes. Joe Woods wouldn't have a problem figuring out how to max him out
*Remember, I told you guys (even after Joe said he would run a 4-3 here) that he would run whatever front best suited his personnel. Labels are for dummies*
Ok I'm officially lobbying for Bud Dupree here. It'd be kinda like trading Olivier Vernon for him, and getting the results John Dorseyhallucinated envisioned.
Some in Steelers Nation see a franchise tag in Bud's future, but they're a couple cuts away from 22 mil in cap space. Bud would gobble up over 16 mil of that, and who knows if he re-signs in 2021?
Colbert doesn't operate that way. He'll try to sign Dupree long-term. If he does, Andrew Berry will make damn sure he pays through the nose.
The Steelers have problems. They will continue to win more than they lose, and contend again at least in 2020.
They need to find Ben's replacement, and that's more likely a free agent than a draft pick for them. Colbert has to save money and rebuild his cap space...nevermind but Dupree is a viable target for the Browns, and they have a decent chance of landing him.
Taking this idealistic fantasy one step further, Andrew Berry signs Dupree and Ogbah (Ogbah for under 8 mil/year after the bonus) and DE/EDGE are covered for 4 years, in depth.
The combined 2020 cap hits could approach 38 mil. "Oh no oh no!", right?
Well see that's business analytics, and what Paul DePodesta has helped pioneer for Fortune 500 companies, as well as for baseball teams:
Invest what surplus you can in long-term investments. Ignore the short-term "margins"---you are jumping ahead of inflation and locking up assets in the current
...nevermind. Anyway, Bud Dupree at under 16 mil/year (as of 2021) and Emmanuel Ogbah at 8/year (ditto) would be well worth 16 mil or so in 2020 bonuses to take non-Garrett EDGE off the table for 4 years.
This is what DePoBerry did when they signed Zeitler and Tretter, see? They nailed down the interior Offensive Line for years to come.
...Then came Dorsey...
Assuming an OBJ trade, it's also possible for the Browns to cover the secondary pre-draft, and secure a good fa linebacker too.
The 2020 FA class is LOADED with stud safeties, including Rodney Bostonfield. DePoBerry will sign 2 studs in free agency, for relative chump-change.
They can also stabilize the linebackers dirt-cheap (sorry Joe Schobert--it is what it is).
Yeah I know: I forgot about Offensive Tackle.
Well that looks grim in free agency. 15 mil for Conklin is a non-starter, and everybody else is artificially overpriced too.
DePoBerry will most likely wait the veterans out, like Lord Insideous (Belichick) does every offseason:
The 2020 draft class is LOADED with excellent Offensive Tackles. Smart agents/players are willing to take less money now, but (believe it or not), most of them don't get it.
It's about EGO, more than anything else---
At any rate, the free agents will start claiming chairs next week, and those without chairs will immediately get desperate.
The semi-smart ones will take the best deal they have at this point before the draft. (Well of course for some of them, the offers are cancelled because somebody else was less GREEDY so...)
Anyway after the draft, you can sign some good geezers dirt-cheap.
This is more analytics, see? But I digress:
Ahead of the draft, DePoBerry can possibly nail down MLB, Safety, and EDGE.
OK and DT as well: These guys might already be here, but space-eating nose tackles are a dime a dozen, and this is the real need here.
Adding it all up, post-free agency period 1 and before the draft, DePoBerry have a decent chance of taking DL, Secondary, and MLB off their board, but might still have an issue at Offensive Tackle.
This is still great news for those of you who live on this planet and in this dimension!
If the Browns are unable to sign a legitimate OT or 2 in free agency, they can certainly find them in this draft class...and of course the greedy geezer who should fire his agent because the Browns now get him for one season for chump-change.
And the Right Guard pundits think they desperately need might already be here...
You people should be optimistic. I get that after 2+ decades of crapitude (and periodic optimism---always crushed), it's hard for you to not be negative, but this is a very talented young team, and this is a "reset".
From the Front Office down, everything is new. If you expect more failure despite the talent you have acknowledged, you are stuporstitious.
PFF ranks Lawson with Nassib, except with the pass/run rankings reversed.
(All these numbers for Nassib and Lawson are around 4 points lower than Ogbah's...)
Peter is much better than I am at evaluating players, and he may see something in Lawson that the numbers don't show. Smith is also thinking about contracts and cap consequences, so might expect Ogbah to cost too much.
But guess who my favorite free agent EDGE guy is.
Bud Dupree looks better as a passrusher, but his price could get rediculous. Dupree is the best non-geezer second tier guy (stellar scores on PFF).
Ogbah is kinda Dupree light, see?
The top guys are not realistic targets in an inflated market. The oldest of them still got it...sorta...but would only be one-year bandaids for the Browns...I keep circling back to Emmanuel Ogbah here.
If not Dupree, then Ogbah. Maybe even Dupree and Ogbah.
Dupree is actually a lot like Olivier Vernon, see? (Except younger and more durable, of course).
To lock him down long-term might cost 70 mil over 4 years per some estimates (with at least 10 mil as a bonus in year 1 to mitigate the annual salary over...nevermind but the average salary after the bonus would actually be less than what Vernon costs...if you ask, I will answer. So don't ask).
Dupree is a "linebacker" for the Steelers. That's not critical as he's Ogbah-sized and puts his hand in the dirt sometimes. Joe Woods wouldn't have a problem figuring out how to max him out
*Remember, I told you guys (even after Joe said he would run a 4-3 here) that he would run whatever front best suited his personnel. Labels are for dummies*
Ok I'm officially lobbying for Bud Dupree here. It'd be kinda like trading Olivier Vernon for him, and getting the results John Dorsey
Some in Steelers Nation see a franchise tag in Bud's future, but they're a couple cuts away from 22 mil in cap space. Bud would gobble up over 16 mil of that, and who knows if he re-signs in 2021?
Colbert doesn't operate that way. He'll try to sign Dupree long-term. If he does, Andrew Berry will make damn sure he pays through the nose.
The Steelers have problems. They will continue to win more than they lose, and contend again at least in 2020.
They need to find Ben's replacement, and that's more likely a free agent than a draft pick for them. Colbert has to save money and rebuild his cap space...nevermind but Dupree is a viable target for the Browns, and they have a decent chance of landing him.
Taking this idealistic fantasy one step further, Andrew Berry signs Dupree and Ogbah (Ogbah for under 8 mil/year after the bonus) and DE/EDGE are covered for 4 years, in depth.
The combined 2020 cap hits could approach 38 mil. "Oh no oh no!", right?
Well see that's business analytics, and what Paul DePodesta has helped pioneer for Fortune 500 companies, as well as for baseball teams:
Invest what surplus you can in long-term investments. Ignore the short-term "margins"---you are jumping ahead of inflation and locking up assets in the current
...nevermind. Anyway, Bud Dupree at under 16 mil/year (as of 2021) and Emmanuel Ogbah at 8/year (ditto) would be well worth 16 mil or so in 2020 bonuses to take non-Garrett EDGE off the table for 4 years.
This is what DePoBerry did when they signed Zeitler and Tretter, see? They nailed down the interior Offensive Line for years to come.
...Then came Dorsey...
Assuming an OBJ trade, it's also possible for the Browns to cover the secondary pre-draft, and secure a good fa linebacker too.
The 2020 FA class is LOADED with stud safeties, including Rodney Bostonfield. DePoBerry will sign 2 studs in free agency, for relative chump-change.
They can also stabilize the linebackers dirt-cheap (sorry Joe Schobert--it is what it is).
Yeah I know: I forgot about Offensive Tackle.
Well that looks grim in free agency. 15 mil for Conklin is a non-starter, and everybody else is artificially overpriced too.
DePoBerry will most likely wait the veterans out, like Lord Insideous (Belichick) does every offseason:
The 2020 draft class is LOADED with excellent Offensive Tackles. Smart agents/players are willing to take less money now, but (believe it or not), most of them don't get it.
It's about EGO, more than anything else---
At any rate, the free agents will start claiming chairs next week, and those without chairs will immediately get desperate.
The semi-smart ones will take the best deal they have at this point before the draft. (Well of course for some of them, the offers are cancelled because somebody else was less GREEDY so...)
Anyway after the draft, you can sign some good geezers dirt-cheap.
This is more analytics, see? But I digress:
Ahead of the draft, DePoBerry can possibly nail down MLB, Safety, and EDGE.
OK and DT as well: These guys might already be here, but space-eating nose tackles are a dime a dozen, and this is the real need here.
Adding it all up, post-free agency period 1 and before the draft, DePoBerry have a decent chance of taking DL, Secondary, and MLB off their board, but might still have an issue at Offensive Tackle.
This is still great news for those of you who live on this planet and in this dimension!
If the Browns are unable to sign a legitimate OT or 2 in free agency, they can certainly find them in this draft class...and of course the greedy geezer who should fire his agent because the Browns now get him for one season for chump-change.
And the Right Guard pundits think they desperately need might already be here...
You people should be optimistic. I get that after 2+ decades of crapitude (and periodic optimism---always crushed), it's hard for you to not be negative, but this is a very talented young team, and this is a "reset".
From the Front Office down, everything is new. If you expect more failure despite the talent you have acknowledged, you are stuporstitious.
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