Tuesday, April 7, 2020

Browns Trade for Trent Williams and Draft Kinlaw Instead of Simmons!

I won't tell you who mocked this for your own protection, but one guy predicted that the Browns would draft Defensive Tackle Javon Kinlaw at 10th overall, and trade 97 overall for you know who the 31 year old disgruntled and injured Offensive Tackle who wants 20 mil/year...probably until he turns 40.

Hey I like Kinlaw a lot, and even think 10th overall isn't too high for him but wait!  There's more!

This guy still has Isaiah Simmons on his board!!!  He drafts Kinlaw instead of Simmons!!!

He says something vague about nobody wanting a linebacker that high or something.

It's interesting that one mock draft (this bozo didn't make it up) actually had Simmons available at 10.  That would be a dream come true for the real Browns front office.

And by the way, I doubt that the Redskins will accept a low third round pick in trade for Trent Williams, or that Williams will be any more reasonable with a new team than he has been with the Skins.

He turns 32 in July and I'm sick of the guys on Tom Brady Radio assuring everybody that he's got many good years to go like all the other geezer Left Tackles (that was sarcasm).

That's like an Old Boys Network.  They're ex-coaches and players, and they have a "code":

1: Players "deserve" as much money as they can extort, no matter what.

2: Never, ever admit that a player has faded or will fade due to age.

Let's not overthink this:  If Isaiah Simmons is miraculously still there at 10, you draft him.

If he's not, you try to trade down and draft a "second tier" young Left Tackle under a 4-5 year contract for less than 25% of what the venerable Gramps Williams will cost you until he retires after a couple years.

Ezra Cleveland is the post-trade-down flavor of the week, but Josh Jones and Austin Jackson are 2 more, and several other guys like Ben Bartch, who also dominated the Senior Bowl, are getting lost in this shuffle.

Indeed, the Browns could end up with more than one potential franchise Left Tackle out of this draft class before the dust settles on this draft.  The depth is unprecedented, and some guys who might have gone in the first round last season or the one before could find themselves in the third round in 2020.

(And this is the year you trade for Trent Williams?  Really--I warned you guys about the Idiocracy.  These people VOTE!)

As you know, the Cornerbacks and Wide Receivers are also producing bumper crops.

The Wide Receivers are relevant to my proposed OBJ trade.

Pragmaticly analytically, no other team should trade anything significant for this player and his contract, but the foodball guyz fixate on experience and "track records".

Partly for good analytical reasons, they can't trust any rookie Wideout to be a number one.  For a "win-now" team in need of that instant difference-maker, an OBJ is the only safe option.

So how much would you pay for a 2020 Superbowl, or just to not get fired this offseason?

Here I need to come back to what I think the other team might offer:  a 2021 1st round pick and a 2020 2nd rounder (if the Browns include their lower third round 2020 pick).

The Browns will project great confidence and lofty goals in 2020, but aren't ready yet.  The Steelers and Ravens are entrenched and experienced, and have held onto most of their talent.

The Browns are rebuilding their Offensive Line, and bringing in a lot of new players all over the Defense, and they have another rookie Head Coach.

Sorry I'm repeating myself again, but I have to add (again) that OBJ is not a true X-receiver either, and he will never earn his salary in any Baker Mayfield offense.

That did bear repeating for the 100th or so time:  Baker Mayfield naturally finds and hits open receivers,  and this tendancy to distribute the ball evenly is one of his biggest advantages.

When John Dorsey brought OBJ here and hired Freddie as Head Coach, the writing was on the wall: Baker, OBJ is your playmaker now.  You have to put the ball in his hands.

Freddie also passed more (got to use OBJ more!) and benched Njoku and stuff--I'm now 99% certain that Dorsey was calling all those shots.

Anyway, it screwed Mayfield (not to mention the rest of the offense) up.

Sam Darnold or Josh Allen or DeShaun Jackson might need an OBJ, but Baker Mayfield doesn't.

If OBJ was 6'3", 220 lbs and content to be "one of the guys", and a lot more durable I'd want to keep him, even at 15 mil/year.  But as it is, he does more harm than good.

Speaking of 6'3", 220 I say let's give Josh Gordon a 5th or 6th chance!  I mean it!  

Ahh, shaddap!  It's one roster spot at the league minimum not even guaranteed! Hell toss in some incentives why not?  The risk is ZERO, and please quit confusing his addictions with being disruptive, or even a pain in the ass!

I guarantee you not one player on that roster would resent Josh Gordon getting another shot.  Zero risk.  Astronomical reward.  DUH (Andrew? Anybody home?  Ask Stefanski-I dare ya).

Anyway there are lots of WRs in the 2020 draft, and as long as we're signing extra Tight Ends and trading for Fullbacks to simulate the 2019 Vikings' Offense, why not draft anothet Stefon Diggs type (even if you do wake up and sign Josh Gordon).

Well, Rodney Ratleyfield is already here, for one thing.  Diggs is slightly taller, but doesn't compare as an athlete.

In the draft, there are almost too many to list, but Chase Claypool (6'4", 238) stands out (*I screened out the top WRs*).

Claypool was a late bloomer at Notre Dame, and prior to performing well at the Senior Bowl and clocking a 4.42 40 at the combine was rated as a 6th or 7th round prospect.

Based on Zierlein's analysis, he sounds a little like Plaxico Burress.

He doesn't get much separation, and isn't a RAC guy, but he wins contested catches and is a difference-making blocker.

He's not an ideal West Coast scheme-fit, and defenses will press him with safetybackers, but he can bully his way to his spot and win the contest.

Claypool is now projected in the 1st or 2nd round, but could slide because of all the playmaking WRs with better numbers in this class.

I like him a little extra because his potential as a Tight End is obvious, and as a rookie he could run all of Njoku's routes.

Plaxico Burress made a lot of big plays for the Steelers and Giants despite not being a great athlete.  He just came down with all the bucket-passes in his zip code, regardless of how many defenders were clustered around him.

Claypool is bigger and faster, and just imagine it:  Hooper, Njoku, and Claypool...how do you cover that, when Jarvis Landry is the other WR?

A big nickel isn't enough.  Somebody will have to come up with a "big dime", and have the Free Safety playing downhill because oknevermind I'll save that for later.

Claypool is just the biggest WR, but there are a bunch of them over 6'1" and even a couple shorter guys with freakishly long arms and big hands, and at least one 6'1" converted running back who's 228 with sub-4.45 speed, and some of these guys will go in the third round or lower!

The Browns' needs are unique, because they won't use a WR in the slot.  Both Tight Ends, Landry, and all the running backs can line up there.

...okbye












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