Sunday, February 23, 2020

Cleveland Browns Draft and Free Agency Stuff and Stuff: Strategery (and stuff)

I've already talked about Senior Bowl dominator Left Tackle Josh Jones, but Daniel Jeremiah thinks that USC's Austin Jackson is the better player, and a great fit for a wide zone blocking scheme.

It looks a lot like the highest either player will be ranked by most experts (maybe including Jeremiah himself---in this case he's focusing on certain scheme-specific traits, and he may have the other guys graded higher overall) will be 5th among the tackles.

If Berry agrees with Jeremiah, he may kinda rank Jones and Jackson very close to eachother.  Jones is also a basketball player-type athlete, but needs more polishing.

Upon further review, if I were the Jets I wouldn't trade 11th overall for OBJ unless WR's Lamb and Jeudy were off the board, and of course Drew Berry can't wait for that if he wants to cash Dorsey's mistake in, so it's 10th overall.

USA's latest mock has a bunch of WRs going in the first round, and all of those teams are candidates to trade that first round pick for OBJ instead.

It's doubtful that even Lamb or Jeudy could approach OBJ's production as rookies, or perhaps ever---and as you keep going down that list, the comparison gets more extreme.

In this mock WRs go 13th, 20th, and 22nd (after the Jets take Jeudy), so Berry could reel in any of those picks in trade--with interest.

Meanwhile (per USA Today), only ONE OT (Wells) is drafted before the Browns turn comes at 10th overall.

This would (if Berry concurs with Jeremiah, and could somehow manage to live with any of the remaining F I V E OTs), enable him to trade down up to 7 slots.

I say 7 because super-safety Delpit, QB Love, and DT Kinlaw are still there, trade-ups for OTs in this situation would be idiotic, and not everybody desperately needs a Tackle.

So Berry moves down as much as he can, then reasesses.  Well, what if USA Today's scenario plays out?

The next OT doesn't come off the board until pick 15!  Wow and 4 of them are still there!

I could go on and on, but basically Josh Jones is drafted 25th, Becton 26th, and Austin Jackson not even in the first round.

Naturally, the combine and pro days will move these guys around a lot, and everybody is just throwing mock darts right now, but this illustrates some possibilities that DePodesta and Berry are definitely already plotting.

"Oh no!  Trading down again?  Yeah that works!  Corey Coleman! 1-31!"

That's just plain dumb.  The fact that one prominant draft pick was a "miss" doesn't negate the strategy, and 1-31 had a ton more to do with pre-Mayfield quarterbacks and Hue Jackson than with team talent.

Every Pro Bowl is full of 2nd, 3rd, and 4th round draft picks.  Most of the best non-running backs stumbled around as rookies, too.

Right now, the free agent market looks pretty good for the Browns' real needs. Damarius Randall is NOT off the table, and there are several top-notch young free and strong safeties out there (especially on the Vikings team Stefanski just left, and Joe Woods left a year earlier).

While I don't think Conklin will make it to the open market, there are a couple other non-geezer OTs that will, and could certainly upgrade RT significantly.

Run-stuffing Defensive Linemen are dirt cheap these days, and when you carry 8 DLs on your active roster, 2 of these CAN get your studs off the field 30% of the time.

Linebackers are pretty cheap too.  I want Schobert back too, but not at any price.  And linebacker is NOT a position of need on this team!

By the time the draft rolls around, a bunch of secondary needs (and wants) will probably have been addressed through free agency.

By then, Berry might well have a decent Right Tackle, solid (or excellent) safeties, and quality Defensive Line depth.

LEFT Tackle, OT depth, EDGE, and depth there might be the only important holes left (I forgot backup QB.  Keenum, I hope).

Ellis L Williams wrote a truly educational Film Study article on why the Browns need to keep Kareem Hunt.

Not much of this will sound new to any of my regular readers, but Ellis goes into a lot more detail--even comparing him to Stefanski's fullback in Minnesota, C J Ham.

There's little resemblance between these 2 players as athletes, but Ellis expects Kevin Stefanski to use Kareem Hunt the way he used Ham, and for the results to be a lot more productive.

Ellis even compared the two as blockers, and gave Hunt the nod.

I have to add here:  Hunt is quicker and faster, so he can get to spots faster and position himself more favorably than Ham can, especially on chip-blocks.

The bulk of Ellis's dissertation focussed on Hunt as a receiver out of the backfield.

I've compared Hunt/Chubb to Byner/Mack, but after watching Ellis's film study, it's not the same.

Schottenheimer's offense didn't use wide zone blocking, and didn't send Byner "against the grain" (after a false step) like that.  Earnest Byner generally just "drifted" outside and caught dumpoffs behind the line of scrimmage--then improvised and ran people over.

Ellis didn't cover everything, either:

C J Ham didn't line up at WR, but Hunt can, and Stefanski will exploit that, too.

Because Hunt doesn't have a "WR" next to his name, you people ignore him in that capacity.  WOW.  Just...WOW.

For those of us who think with our brains, Kareem Hunt is Jarvis Landry on steroids.  If Landry was as big and strong as Hunt...well there you go.

But you people: "Budd iv we trade OBJ we need more wide rezeeverz oyeee"...because Hunt has "RB" next to his name.

...and because you've written Rashard Higgins off (wtf!?!)

Seriously you people, how can you be burning Freddie Kitchens in effigy and simultaneously taking each and every one of his personnel decisions to the bank!?!

David Njoku and Rashard Higgins suck?  

Most of the pundits are even dumber than you:  In addition to "couldn't find ways to get OBJ the ball", I've read "couldn't find Higgins", and "inconsistent" in re Njoku.

Yeah, blame everybody but Baker Mayfield, no?

I wish I could think like you people.  Ignorance is bliss (no offense).  You're going to vote, aren't you?  I'm so glad I'm close to my expiration date, so I will hopefully miss the results but I digress:

Rodney Kitchensfield did a good job of exploiting Kareem Hunt in 2019, and Ellis used some of this film in his article.

...but dayumm...with that wide zone blocking scheme and Hunt instead of Ham...oh that's just plain LETHAL...

Stefanski has to love it.

The Browns are no doubt trying to extend Kareem Hunt, but his agent is no doubt holding out for his ok nevermind last call okbye




No comments: