Thursday, February 6, 2020

Case Keenum, Mayfield-Bashing, Analytics, Emotions, and the Browns

Somebody else in Cleveland agrees with me that the Browns should move on from Chris Kirksey.  Justice Sunderland points to Kirksey's oversized salary and the rapid emergence of 2019 draft pick Mack Wilson.

Of course, that's not news to you guys, right?

Matthew Florjancic covers a former NFL player whose name I don't have time to try to spell right, who said that Baker Mayfield is a bum, and recommended that the Browns sign former Viking Case Keenum.

This player kind of irked me, because 2019 didn't erase from history what Mayfield did as a rookie in 2018--it's ignorant as hell to label him a "bum" before he's even entered his third season.

But some of the things this guy said about both Mayfield and Keenum rang true.

Like when Mayfield criticized Duke Johnson for not showing up for voluntary workouts (while asking for a trade). It was presumptuous and classless.

This player felt that this was Baker's ham-handed, artificial way of trying to be a leader, and I have to reluctantly not neccessarily disagree.

The guy went too far in bashing Mayfield for the commercials he's doing, as is everybody else.  None of these clowns would turn down that money, and for cryin out loud he's not making movies, ok?

You guys know that the way he treated Hue Jackson after the latter was fired was immature and petty, and he can stick that whole "if you don't like it too bad" schtick where the sun don't shine...

However, Baker Mayfield is obviously not a bum (or "overrated as hell"), and all of his Oklahoma teammates revere his natural leadership.

I respect this guy's opinions, but just think he went overboard here.

Not on Keenum, of course!  Case Keenum is highly underrated, and when he completed over 67% of his passes and went 13-3, Stefanski was his QB coach.

I fully expect the new brain crust (btw "crust" is deliberate insert chuckle here____) to target Case Keenum as a backup.

In the current QB market, Keenum has marginal leverage, and no team will be inclined to pay him starting money.  Berry has a good chance to nail Keenum down to a multi-year contract for maybe 10% over top backup money.

Stefanski will probably push for this, and Berry/DePodesta will see the logic.

...but not because Keenum ran Stefanski's system, ok?  Keenum was pre-Kubiak, and for that matter pre-Stefanski.

But Case should speak the "language", and the bulk of the current scheme.  Moreover, Keenum is an ideal "West Coast" QB, and of course trusts Kevin Stefanski.

DePodesta (and Berry) have to be nervous about Mayfield's 2020 performance.  Like me, they expect him to rebound with better protection and after OBJ is traded, and the balance of the Shanahan offense is installed.

But Case Keenum is probably THE best insurance policy they could ever find.

And Keenum could "mentor" a humbled Mayfield.

Justik vaguely supports me here in response to ndkbkhduu. Tmdkeb jbdb's (get a PEN name man) "Mayfield is a bum" commentary, but you've already heard it, in much greater depth, HERE.  (Ok well Randy technically beat me to the punch by publishing sooner, but I've gone much deeper, so...)

At least I now know that Justik might not be stealing from me...

Jimmy Haslam said (duh) Kareem Hunt needs to do better but (duh) the Browns want to keep him.

NO, this is NOT "meddling", ok?  It's not even possible that Berry or DePodesta would want to dump Kareem Hunt off this off-the-field typical kid stuff...

Indeed, Paul DePodesta is no doubt pushing Berry for a long-term contract for Kareem Hunt.  Hunt's leverage has never been lower.  The "foodball peeble" are all like "he might get a dui or rape somebody or even get caught smoking the heathen devil-weed/destroyer of youth next!", so (now that Dorsey is off the table) nobody will offer him big money yet, see?

Berry might nix this, but I'm pretty sure that DePodesta is lobbying for a 3-year (conditional) offer to Kareem Hunt, paying him top 8 RB money with the guarantees front-loaded.

Try to stay with me here:  the "conditions" are obviously criminal offenses off the field.  Hunt has to behave himself, or his contract can be voided at the team's discretion.

Hunt sincerely wants to stick around with the Browns.  He clearly doesn't mind being "Robin" to Nick Chubb's "Batman" if it means he catches lots of passes in space, takes over for Chubb if he gets hurt, and (in general) can salvage his carreer.

Most of you people expect some sort of cheap one-year tender for Hunt, but (trust me) DePodesta is telling Berry "He'll stay out of trouble and kick ass again, and we might not even make the playoffs--and lose him for nothing!

"Dump Vernon, trade OBJ, invest in Hunt conditionally, front-loading the guarantees...pay him over his market value, but build in 'insurance' clauses in case he screws up again...load him up with performance bonuses to further mitigate his guaranteed money.

"If he gets in trouble again, check.  If Chubb gets hurt and he takes over check.  If somebody offers us the stars and the moon for him and his amazingly attractive contract after 2020 check DO YOU UNDERSTAND!?!"


Sadly, Jimmy Haslam lost my resume, and Berry got my job, so Kareem Hunt will probably get to audition for the rest of the NFL as a restricted free agent, and then get paid a jillion dollars by some other team...


...Dammit. 

What most of you people call "analytics" is really uncommon sense (try to stick with me here):

Kareem Hunt is easily a top 5 NFL running back without his receiving skills and versatility!  If not for his off-field issues and history, he's on par with any NFL running back you could name.  

If you can nail him down cheap due to off-the-field stuff and politics, you DO!

Nevermind.  They'll probably ignore DePodesta and just "rent" Hunt for one meaningless season, and let him go somewhere else for an outrageous price the Browns can't match.

"Foodball guyz" are used to this, and say "oh well" a lot.  Is any of this starting to sink in yet?

Paul DePodesta (as he stresses) is NOT a talent scout.  He IS possibly the best efficiency expert on this planet.

Trust me: DePodesta wants to extend Hunt for at least 3 years *beyond Chubb's expiration date*.

He wants to trade OBJ, dump (and possibly re-sign) Vernon, dump Kirksey, and re-sign Schobert (within reason).

If any of this makes you pissed off or crazy, you are not rational.  Everybody loves Christian Kirksey (like OBJ)--but money is money, and business is business, and I just saw Trump impeached and I'm sick of trying to deal with brainwashed people and psychopaths...

But I digress okbye


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