Sunday, February 23, 2020

Browns Trade Ideas and Free Agents and DePodestian Stuff

Elliott Kennel came up with another "Cap Rescue" trade idea.  (To review, Elliott wanted the Browns to do an Osweiler-type deal with Nick Foles, except have a second trade lined up;

The Jagwires give the Browns their 2021 2nd round pick to relieve them of Foles' guaranteed 16 mil salary.  The Browns then pay half that 2020 salary and trade him to another team (Elliott thinks Chicago but I think it could be Indianapolis) for another second round pick--basicly buying 2 second round picks for 8 million bucks).

That was brilliant, and is realistic, too!

Now, the Village Elliott thinks that the Browns should bail the Vikings out, too.

The Vikings have 3 expensive geezers (*who are still starters and still good players, mind you*).  They trade one of thesefor a 2020 Browns 2nd round pick, BUT cough up their 2021 1st round pick in return.

This is really clever (and once again not unrealistic), but I'm not nearly as thrilled about this one as I was about the Foles proposal.

The Vikings may well take a step back in 2020, as they are 12 mil over the cap, and will have to lose Joseph, Reiff, and Griffin, who are all at least 32 and represent 8+ mil cap hits.

They might jump at this deal, since they could really use that extra 2020 Browns' 2nd round pick (they're still contenders in "win-now" mode; they need to get immediate impact out of their draft class).

For the Browns, all 3 of these players represent upgrades and plug holes in the current roster.

However, they are one-year rentals.

The Vikings are very likely to draft in the bottom 10 in 2021, and the Browns high 2nd-roun
der in 2020 represents a cheap probable starter with a promising future.

Sigh...I could argue both sides of this one, even channeling DePodesta.

I mean, the swing on the "flip" might be 20 slots or so, and the immediate veteran upgrade could be useful in a weakened AFC North (except for the Ravens, I mean).

The vets are leaders who have been to the playoffs.  They'd be good for the younger guys to learn from.  

The longer-term cap situation matters a lot to DePodesta (and no doubt Berry as well):

Do the Jets and Browns do an OBJ trade (for 11th overall)?  Do they bail the Jagwires out and get 2020 and 2021 second rounders out of it?

If so, then Paul and Andrew would want to dump that 2020 second round pick for a starter (or major rotational player) and a 1st-rounder next year!

If you don't understand why this is, you need to go back a year or so and read some of what you missed in this Blog.

If you draft too much talent all at once, and pick well, then you WILL face cap hell like the Jaguars and Vikings are now.  Also, first-round picks include a 5th-year club option (makes a big difference).

Confused?  ...ok so am I.  There are too many variables here, but I gotta say I have talked myself into liking Elliott Kennel's Vikings bail-out proposal a lot more.

Imagine if everything that should happen does happen:

1: The Jets trade 11th overall for OBJ.  

OK it's bullcrap that OBJ demands the ball all the time.  He gets in fights with kicking nets and stuff, but he just hates LOSING.  OBJ is NOT Antonio Brown.  He is NOT selfish or egomaniacal.  He's just emotional.  And his behavior in 2019 was pretty uneventful, which is relevant.

2: The Browns mediate/subsidize a Foles trade:

That's a 2021 2nd round pick and (in my own opinion) a 2020 2nd round pick (or maybe a 3rd I need to study some more on this).

At this point, Andrew Berry has 10/11 in the 1st, (pessimisticly) his own 2nd, and 3 3rd round picks in 2020.

ALL of these players are potential immediate starters, specialists, and/or key rotational guys, and trade-downs are likely.

In this case, Paul DePodesta would want Elliott's proposed Vikings bail-out trade (ie trading his 2020 2nd rounder for a bottom third 2021 1st rounder and a good 2020 renta-player).

Right now, the Browns are rich and about to get richer (over 34 mil net for Vernon, OBJ, and Kirksey), and the Browns actually have to spend more money per the CBA.

Add the Village Elliott's latest proposal onto everything else, and after 5 Day 1/2 picks in 2020, the Browns have 2 firsts and 2 seconds in 2021!

I can't wait for Elliott Kennel's next trade-proposal! 

MKC is fretting over Landry and OBJ being unavailable to chemically combine with Baker Mayfield in the upcoming offseason.

This is funny, since OBJ will be a GMF anyway, and the Browns will be running a mainly West Coast timing offense in 2020 anyway.

Mary Kay probably flunked chemistry:  "Chemistry" is way more important to conventional passing schemes than in timing schemes...and as MKC herself admits, OBJ is not a good fit (cognative disonance again).

Timing routes are precise: You MUST be HERE at THIS point in time (no hollering "hit me I'm open!", see?)

Certainly, some guys are quicker/faster than others, and allowances are made for press coverage and stuff, but the QB still throws to a spot BEFORE the receiver breaks (or looks back) ok?

Mayfield is mainly an "air-raid" guy, but those who think he can't run a West Coast are mentally impaired.  He simply has to trust his receivers and throw on time...

Long story (jeez) but the system makes guys like Higgins and Gabriel look awesome...

Okbye






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