The Jets have a decent amount of cap space. They don't have a true number one WR, and 2 of their top 3 are unrestricted free agents.
Inflation could drive Robby Anderson's new salary up close to OBJ's current one, and the terms of OBJ's contract might make him the better deal--even ignoring the difference in talent and production.
They have a decent amount of cap space, and have a definite need.
The Patriots are about to lose Tom Brady, the Dolphins are scrambling for a Quarterback, and Sam Darnold sort of came into his own in 2019.
The Jets are unlikely to find an instant-impact difference-maker at 11th overall. OBJ sells tickets, and he redeemed his image somewhat in 2019.
This makes too much sense for the Jets (and for OBJ).
Andrew Berry probably couldn't hold them up for more than 11th overall. In fact, the Jets would start out offering less, or demanding additional compensation for 11th overall, but 11 for OBJ is about right for all parties.
Just for fun, I'll fantasize and say this trade happens, and that the Browns do a 3-way to get Nick Foles off the Jagwires cap and to Indi or Chicago for 8 mil and collect two second round picks for 8 mil in 2020 and their efforts too.
This would add 11 overall and maybe a middle second rounder in 2020 (and another in 2021).
Josh Jones is ranked 4th among Offensive Tackles by PFF, and 8th by Walter Football:
Jones is physically the closest Left Tackle to Joe Thomas, but gets dinged by his level of competition and some technical flaws which will need to be coached out of him...also he's more a wall-off guy than a road-grader in the running game.
While PFF has reservations about Becton, 3 other Left Tackles look studly and safe (as a top 10 pick) in this draft.
3 Quarterbacks (possibly 4) will go in the top 10. Young, the Garrett-like EDGE Buckeye, will almost certainly get snatched up before #10 as well (dammit), and 1-2 Defensive Tackles...well ok probably at least 6 non-Offensive Tackles should go in the top 9.
This is predictable; DePodesta can count on it as a bottom line. Teams will be trading up and down, but when the dust settles, DePodesta can count on at least 1 really good Left Tackle being available at 10(/11 tee-hee).
Having 10 and 11 would be extremely valuable, you people:
All surprises in the top 9 are happy accidents. A 4th Quarterback, or a WR, or a second DT, or that freak Safety (whatever) pushes the players that Berry and DePodesta have targeted down another rung.
Now, they can trade down from 10 and/or 11, or both, depending on how this shakes out, see?
1: Other GMs who think that the Browns themselves will draft their player will offer more for 10th overall.
2: The pick is no longer position-specific. They can nail a Left Tackle at 10 or at 11. This means they can pretty much go best available with 10 or 11 if it shakes out that way.
3: All GMs group players on their draft boards. For the Browns, owning 10 and 11, this group would be much more fun:
They might well have 3 Left Tackles, 1 Edge guy (Young of course), and maybe a DT and/or somebody else in their group of acceptable picks at 10/11.
-snap-snap- still with me here?
Well, what if the Browns hit the clock at 10 with 4 of those players still there?
Well DUH! They can trade down 4 and 5 slots respectively, and still be certain of landing 2 of their top targets!
It's tough to explain this math; how the 2 consecutive top 11 picks become exponentially more valuable, but they do, and Paul DePodesta will want that 11th overall pick from the Jets:
In addition to dramatically increasing his cap space, Paul gets an exponentially increased trade-down possibility (much more than just 11th overall)...
I don't think Tony Grossi (or John Dorsey, for that matter) gets this trading down stuff.
Imagine if Young somehow makes it to 10. Well, you can STILL trade that pick, and draft him 11th overall!
It's deep. It's "analytics". You can make fun of us "moneyball" geeks all you want, but Lord Insideous was a geek-savant, and has been punking the foodball guyz for decades.
Anyway I hope the Jets, Jagwires, and somebody else wants to deal, because this could be a historic year in NFL history.
Simpletonians will refelexivey point at Corey Coleman and stuff, but that's not analytics. Analytics can't figure out a player's heart or mind (and never tries to).
...too deep in the weeds here, plus I cashed out. Okbye.
Josh Jones is ranked 4th among Offensive Tackles by PFF, and 8th by Walter Football:
Jones is physically the closest Left Tackle to Joe Thomas, but gets dinged by his level of competition and some technical flaws which will need to be coached out of him...also he's more a wall-off guy than a road-grader in the running game.
While PFF has reservations about Becton, 3 other Left Tackles look studly and safe (as a top 10 pick) in this draft.
3 Quarterbacks (possibly 4) will go in the top 10. Young, the Garrett-like EDGE Buckeye, will almost certainly get snatched up before #10 as well (dammit), and 1-2 Defensive Tackles...well ok probably at least 6 non-Offensive Tackles should go in the top 9.
This is predictable; DePodesta can count on it as a bottom line. Teams will be trading up and down, but when the dust settles, DePodesta can count on at least 1 really good Left Tackle being available at 10(/11 tee-hee).
Having 10 and 11 would be extremely valuable, you people:
All surprises in the top 9 are happy accidents. A 4th Quarterback, or a WR, or a second DT, or that freak Safety (whatever) pushes the players that Berry and DePodesta have targeted down another rung.
Now, they can trade down from 10 and/or 11, or both, depending on how this shakes out, see?
1: Other GMs who think that the Browns themselves will draft their player will offer more for 10th overall.
2: The pick is no longer position-specific. They can nail a Left Tackle at 10 or at 11. This means they can pretty much go best available with 10 or 11 if it shakes out that way.
3: All GMs group players on their draft boards. For the Browns, owning 10 and 11, this group would be much more fun:
They might well have 3 Left Tackles, 1 Edge guy (Young of course), and maybe a DT and/or somebody else in their group of acceptable picks at 10/11.
-snap-snap- still with me here?
Well, what if the Browns hit the clock at 10 with 4 of those players still there?
Well DUH! They can trade down 4 and 5 slots respectively, and still be certain of landing 2 of their top targets!
It's tough to explain this math; how the 2 consecutive top 11 picks become exponentially more valuable, but they do, and Paul DePodesta will want that 11th overall pick from the Jets:
In addition to dramatically increasing his cap space, Paul gets an exponentially increased trade-down possibility (much more than just 11th overall)...
I don't think Tony Grossi (or John Dorsey, for that matter) gets this trading down stuff.
Imagine if Young somehow makes it to 10. Well, you can STILL trade that pick, and draft him 11th overall!
It's deep. It's "analytics". You can make fun of us "moneyball" geeks all you want, but Lord Insideous was a geek-savant, and has been punking the foodball guyz for decades.
Anyway I hope the Jets, Jagwires, and somebody else wants to deal, because this could be a historic year in NFL history.
Simpletonians will refelexivey point at Corey Coleman and stuff, but that's not analytics. Analytics can't figure out a player's heart or mind (and never tries to).
...too deep in the weeds here, plus I cashed out. Okbye.
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