Monday, March 6, 2017

Myles Garrett, Quarterbacks, and the Cleveland Browns

Everybody says Myles Garrett's amazing workouts make his selection first overall mandatory, including Terry Pluto.  I guess it does.  Even if they want to draft Trubisky, the upheaval that move would cause would be unprecedented.

And Garrett truly is a game-changing freak.  

The Tyrod Taylor stuff is just noise.  Rhona LaCanfora invented another Coach-front office power struggle and projected his own opinion into the Browns interest in him.

It's possible that the Browns might pursue him, at a specific price-point, but the only advantages he has over Cody Kessler are physical toughness, his legs, and a stronger arm.  I know that sounds like a lot, but Kessler's accuracy and timing are more important for Hue Jackson.

Taylor is probably not a franchise quarterback, but will probably get paid like one.  Sashi Brown won't be the one to make that mistake.  It amazes me that anybody at all still finds this guy credible.

Adam Shefter is rarely wrong, except he might be this time about Garopollo's availability.  Bill Belichick never closes the door on a potential trade, especially when the spectre of spending over 22% of his salary cap on quarterbacks looms.

If Bill holds onto Jimmy, he could put a first round tender on him as I've suggested, but I'm not certain Jimmy would have to sign it, and I am certain he would be very upset about it.

This would also restrict Bill's compensation to one first round pick, in what is expected to be a strong 2018 quarterback draft.  By making a move now, he could get more, sooner, and for sure. 

He WILL listen to offers, because not to do so would be downright stupid, and unless somebody offers him their top pick, the Browns number 12 and change might do the trick.

Thomas Moore is, methinks, overly skeptical about Jimmy Garopollo, but did cite three pre-draft scouting reports which were more or less positive.  Notably, the CBS Sports one said that he should be a good starter in two or three years.

Tom probably doesn't listen to NFL Radio as I do, because Mike Mayock and Rick Newheisel like Jimmy a lot, and I'm not sure, but I bet so does Cosell.

The fact that he was the fourth quarterback taken in a draft three years ago, and that a lot of teams passed him up twice, is irrelevant.  Mayock at that time had nearly identical grades on Garopollo to those he has on Mitch Trubisky now. Kyle Shanahan has him number two behind Carr.

A bunch of teams passed up Prescott, Cousins, and Wilson, too.  How many teams passed up Aaron Rodgers?  Ryan Leaf almost went before Peyton Manning.  It means nothing.

NOTE TO SASHI: Not re-signing Terrelle Pryor might make Jimmy refuse to negotiate with you.

The other rumored trades are unlikely.  You are all wrong about Cody Kessler, and about what Hue thinks of him.

I have to admit, Garrett would change the whole defense.  I still say defensive end is not a position of need, but Garrett is just in a class of his own.  Either Ogbah or Nassib would have more success, as protections would always slide away from them.  Danny Shelton would also have only one guy to manhandle more often.  Blitzers would come in unblocked more often, and offenses couldn't even try to run Garrett over.

Defensive end would be extremely deep.  Gregg could "overrun the perimeter" in the fourth quarter.  He could deploy four passrushing defensive ends now and then (wow).

Alternatives at quarterback aren't that limited.  If you listen to Mayock and others, they will tell you, in plain language: These guys are talented, with franchise potential.  They're being downgraded by as much as 30 slots because they are not ready to start in 2017.

In fact, Trubisky is ranked first only because he has taken a lot of snaps under center, and has played inside the pocket more, so he's better prepared than the other guys.

Mayock feels that DeShone Kizer has the most upside.  Others think it's Watson.  Mahones is amazing, too.  All have the height, size, and arm talent Hue wants.  

Since the plan was to keep the rookie on the bench for a year anyway, a quarterback with franchise potential should still be there at 12 (if it's not Jimmy G).

If you think the analytics guys would never trade up, you clearly still don't understand this stuff.  For greater long-term value, they will trade up.  A quarterback represents disproportionate long term value.  Analytics is about value.

So yeah, ok.  I'm willing to settle for Myles Garrett, I guess...unless there's another Mike Ditka out there...never say never to a trade offer!  Ok Garrett or some fool's entire draft, ok?

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