Tuesday, March 21, 2017

Cleveland Browns Mock Draft Changes

Peter Smith's latest Cleveland Browns mock draft was really impressive.  

Garrett check, but he has the Browns picking Patrick Mahomes at twelve.  He doesn't mention Mitch Trubisky, but that might be because he expects him to be gone at that point.

What he does say about Mahomes is all true: He is accurate, and has great arm talent.  Unlike many others I could re-name, Pete stipulates that this 12th overall pick needs to spend his first season on the bench.

Pete gets it, as he writes that the way things are coming together, the Browns are on-track to make their "move" into positive win/loss territory in 2018, and that quarterback is the most important position.  (I said quarterback is the most important position.  Read that again please.)

Pete calls Mahomes the most talented quarterback in this draft, and he is.  He may also be the least disciplined and rawest.  He's been compared to Johnny Manziel, who came from the same system at the same school, for a reason.

Please!  Do I have to say it?  He's around three inches taller, 20 lbs heavier, doesn't have any off the field issues, and is called a hard worker.  The comparison refers solely to his arm talent and style of play.  Drafting Mahomes would not be repeating a mistake.

I've learned to trust Peter Smith, who does actual film studies on his own, and knows what he's looking at.  Clearly, in his opinion, Mahomes can succeed in a somewhat tailored Hue Jackson offense after a year in the nursery.

Atop round two, Pete drafts Chidobi Awuzie, a defensive back.  This guy is fully capable of playing free safety, but, like both of the other two defensive backs he drafts later, has played and can play different positions in Gregg Williams' defense.  He has decent size, and can cover a lot of ground.

Next up in the second is a penetrating three technique defensive tackle to compete with X Cooper.

Then it's huge Ashland tight end Adam Shaheen (yay).  He's another guy who will need some time to develop.  Peter is quite high on Seth DeValve, who didn't make much noise until late in his rookie season, but Shaheen can play in line and block.  These two would be the future Browns tight ends.

In round four, he picks 5'9.625" corner Jalen Myrick, who he insists can be an outside cornerback despite his height.  According to Peter, Myrick actually matches up better with shorter, quicker receivers than Joe Haden does.  He certainly is faster.  He's weighs 200 lbs., so he's not actually small.

I don't like his height, but defer to Peter here.

After another versatile rotational defensive back, Peter goes for depth players and flawed freaks with astronomical upsides.

One of these is wide receiver Robert Davis, who is almost 6'3", 219 lbs., and tested off the charts in every drill.  But he dropped a lot of passes, and per Pete, he doesn't always extend his arms, keep defenders off his body, or use his size to establish leverage (needs a lot of coaching).

A guy like this could be terrific on special teams even if he fails to develop as a receiver and (big surprise) could be tried as a defensive back.

I know I say that a lot, but stop snickering.  Probably one third of NFL defensive backs are former wide receivers.  Most switched in college, but some did after being drafted.  The most common reason is because they were great athletes who dropped passes.

It's not the same as a quarterback switching to wide receiver.  These are guys who've been running patterns all their lives, and who know exactly what opposing wide receivers are trying to pull on them.  They need good hips, have to learn a lot of techniques, and some can't do it because they can't react quickly enough, but this transition isn't uncommon.

The best example is Richard Sherman.  I would try every stone-handed freak athlete out at cornerback and safety before I'd kick him to the curb.

The other mock drafts now all seem to have the Browns going with Trubisky or Watson at twelve (Pat Kirwan says if he needed a guy to play this year he'd take Watson, but if he could wait til 2018, he'd go with Trubisky).

Another note on Trubes: If Wentz had been drafted (maybe in the fifth round haha) after his own first 13 or so starts, could he have done what he did early on with the Eagles?

No.  But if he had stayed on the bench for a season with the Eagles before he took the reins, would opposing defenses have shut him down later in his first starting season?

We can't give a definite answer, but probably not, because he'd have been practicing with and against pros, be accustomed to the windows and speed, and more quickly diagnose insideously diabolical trickery and deceit.

Is any of this sinking in yet?

Matt Miller is sticking to his guns.  At twelve he has the Browns picking wide receiver Mike Williams because, you know, the Browns don't have enough wide receivers...or something.

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