Friday, July 17, 2020

Browns stuff Njoku Garrett Contract Strategery Etc and Stuff etc

As I write this, Spotrack isn't showing Myles Garrett's new contract.  This is partly because the last 2 years of his rookie contract remain in-force.

Garrett is under contract through 2026 now, for seven more years, until he is 31.

Comparing the Garrett deal to the Chris Jones is beyond stupid.  Chris is a Defensive Tackle, and DePoBerry managed to get this deal done without wiping out the last two (comparatively cheap) years of his rookie deal.

That changes all the math, and DePosesta is a genius for having Berry do it this way:

1: The guaranteed portion of Garrett's new contract is 80% (no doubt most in the 1st 3 years).  The 80% is unusual, but without it, Garrett's team would have wanted to wipe out his extant contract.

Myles Garrett will now make 100 million bucks (over and above his rookie guarantees) even if he suffers a carreer-ending injury tomorrow.

Also, Garrett and his agent can declare him the highest paid defensive player in the NFL, even though it's just a technicality, because

2: The extant and new contracts combined and averaged out might not really be the most.  These claims and declarations are based on the new contract only, which

3: doesn't even kick in til 2022.  In 2020 and 2021, Garrett remains "cheap" for the game-changer that he is and will become, giving DePoBerry a better chance of retaining other high-impact young draft picks like Ogunjobi(?), Njoku(?), Williams, Ward, Chubb, etc (maybe using the same strategy).

Meanwhile

4: as of 2022, the cap (and salaries) might be 9-15% higher than they are now, with7 more than one defensive player getting paid more than Garrett.  In 2023, 2024, etc Garrett's cap hit will continue to shrink, so DePoBerry are retaining possibly the best defensive player (or at least passrusher) in the NFL at a growing "discount".

This was a gutsy move by the Front Office: If Myles Garrett gets busted up by one major or several minor injuries, or his carreer ends for any reason not his own fault, the Browns are on the hook for ALL that guaranteed money.

You don't want to think about that.  Even if he's a quadrapalegic, they have to keep him on their active roster, because if they release him...all guarantees are due and payable.

The Front Office bet on Garrett's work ethic, character, and intelligence here.  He's a maniacal workout-warrior and health nut, he protects himself from cut-blocks and stuff...

Sorry getting into the weeds here, but if Myles Garrett remains healthy, or even if he declines in the out-years due to cumulative injuries as many do, this was a great deal for the team, and other teams will copy it.

It might be an outlier, though.  They might try it with Baker Mayfield, but definitely not with Chubb, and maybe not with Ward.  For assorted reasons, these non-Quarterbacks are more injury-prone, and riskier.

Trading David Njoku?  First of all, of course Stefanski "has plans" for David if he's on the team wtf happened to critical thinking Mary Kay?

Thinking with your brain 101:

1: Kareem Hunt is on the 2020 roster.  He won the rushing title as a rookie, and is one of the most prolific pass-catching backs in the NFL, and by the way:

"Out of the backfield" is like "New York football Giants"; a meaningless reflex with no meaning.  Kareem Hunt lines up in the slot and wide.  He's the defacto third receiver here obviously, and a 2 running back base is more obvious to anybody who respects Kevin Stefanski's intelligence (and can spell their own name right--no offense Mary Kay).

Longer-term (after he loses Hunt in 2021), Kevin will want his TE-heavy offense back, but for 2020 David Njoku (and his salary) are expendable, and Drew Rosenhaus and Captain Obvious know it.

2: Those who think that other scouts and GMs interpret John Dorsey Freddie Kitchens' treatment of Njoku (and his wrist injury) undermine his value to other GMs aren't objective.

The other GMs also ignore yokel pundits who bash him as a blocker.  

Njoku's only real issue is reliability.  He drops too many passes.  But

3: Njoku has made a ton of circus-catches as well; he has the hands and the coordination, and most of his idiotic drops were "mental lapses".

Talent scouts see this, and every Coach thinks he can "fix" it.

But

4: AS IS, based on Njoku's first 2 seasons, he's absolutely worth a 4th round pick and/or more given his current contract, and ignoring his astronomical upside.

-snap-snap- what he did in 2018 is worth at least a 3rd round pick--do you think he'll be worse in 2020?  Knock-knock is anybody home?

David Njoku is on the block, and (no offense Chad Porto) won't go cheap (if he goes).

I haven't actually read this Grant Puskar article, but he predicts 3 players who could get cut this season:

I get Olivier Vernon...ok no Grant was TOTALLY fulla beans here:

Sheldrick Redwine actually played pretty well in his limitted opportunities as a R O O K I E, and is very much in the safety competition in 2020.

I assume that Grant ass umes that Berry will be like Dorsey and purge players he didn't acquire, but Berry (even without DePodesta) aint like that, and Sheldrick Redwine showed great promise in 2019, period.

Certainly Delpit, Joseph, and Sandejo are in his way (not to mention Hassel who is a freak), but Joe Woods plans a DB-heavy defense which will probably include one more DB and one fewer Linebacker.

Olivier Vernon's salary is mostly guaranteed, and it would be pointless to release him (for any reason) during the season.

David Njoku could be traded, but cut?  For cryin out loud how can any of you people not see the emerging Idiocracy?

I do read the opinions off of these columns, and find over 30% intelligent/objective analysis and debate, but the other 70% is the Jerry Springer show so...

But I digress: Per Steve Patsko (and Joe Woods), the personnel grouping is less important than the scheme:

Joe says he intends to confuse and befuddle opposing offenses (I paraphrase).  Woods plans to show zone coverage and run man and vice-versa to screw them up.

If you were a real analyst, or at least critical thinker, you would deduce that Joe Woods intends to vary his coverage, and run every scheme.

I expect Joe Woods to exploit Olivier Vernon's linebacker/coverage skills, drop Phillips or have him jam and run with some TEs sometimes, and..okbye


































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