Thursday, December 12, 2019

Cleveland Browns Bullshit Rumors, Delusions, and Hysteria KILL ME PLEASE

The most recent information about Odell Beckham Jr's relationship with the Browns comes from Jarvis Landry, and for me, puts OBJ back in the "wants to stick around" category.

Landry and Beckham are essentially brothers, and OBJ won't BS his bro.  Landry won't misrepresent his bro.

Baker Mayfield can't be anywhere near as close to OBJ as Landry is, but as his Quarterback, what he says about what OBJ told him carries weight, as well.

These 2 are "Humint" (human intelligence) sources.  A real analyst already has these 2 pegged as unusually blunt, honest, and outspoken (read reliable as hell).

Landry's extant relationship with OBJ,  Mayfield's professional relationship with him, both players' expertise and a lot of other things matter here.

So does what OBJ himself says...and when did people start...why did he have to say "I never said I wanted out"!?!  Why did people turn "who knows what will happen?" into "I want out!" in the first place jeeezzz!!!

"Come get me!"?  I don't doubt that OBJ actually said this to at least one opposing Coach, partly because in his place I would have said that stuff (see prior posts).

I agree with what OBJ himself actually said:  This is the NFL.  Who knows if he will be a Cleveland Brown in 2020?  (...how is this controversial?)

MOST of my fellow Browns fans don't pay nearly as much attention to the boring Front Office stuff as I do, or understand analytics (a business term):

Right now Paul DePodesta John Dorsey has some decisions to make:

Joe Schobert, Kareem Hunt, Greg Robinson, and Damarius Randall are the main expiring contract guys in 2019-2020.

DePodesta the Browns have to look a tad deeper than us fans do when making these decisions.

I'll try to simplify the NFL version as it applies to the Browns AMAP, hoping that a few of you might comprehend it:

Joe Schobert has been durable, is in his prime, has excelled in 2 defensive systems, been to a Pro Bowl, still seems to be ascending, and...

Plays a "cheap" (undervalued) position.  There will not be a huge bidding war for Joe Schobert, as most GMs think they can find guys like him in the middle and low rounds of the draft.

Joe almost led the league in missed tackles in 2018.  The fact that he's much better in 2019 doesn't offset that as much as it should (ok sorry is this getting too deep?)

Check my own earlier posts.  I would have traded Schobert for a 3rd round pick or better before this season.  I felt that his brains and coverage skills would mean a lot less to Wilks than they did to Wiliams, and that he wouldn't "fix" all those blown tackles.

I was fulla crap.  Joe Schobert is one of the best all-around inside linebackers in the NFL again.

...but YOU people (or rather fans in general) don't compare him to Takitaki or Wilson intelligently:

1: Both younger players are massively cheaper, for several years. If one or both project to become 80% as good as Schobert overall, you can't match the highest offers from other teams if they get too rediculous.

2: Schobert is a LEADER and a core player.  He is NOW (at least) a top 5 inside linebacker, vs the run as well as in coverage.

DePodesta Dorsey needs to pay him (you know...instead of letting him go for NOTHING?)

...I was about to get into Hunt and OBJ, but think I might have established a common sense beach-head here in re common sense analytics:

Schobert plays a undervalued position, but is in (at least) the top 5 there.  He excels in every way, and...

Mack Wilson has RECENTLY showed great promise (he has improved in all phases recently DO YOU UNDERSTAND?), and Takitaki has showed up a little, but for DePodesta, retaining Schobert is affordable and smart.

Damarius Randall is a tougher call, as (under Steve Wilks) he's not so critical, and he has Redwine in his face.  He's also been injured and had some mysterious off-field issues but I digress:

At least 4 Brinks Trucks will back up to the Browns' loading dock in 2020, and at least 1 or 2 will be turned away.

I will expound later, but for now expect the Schobert and Hunt trucks to get loaded.  

More immediately, the Browns beat the Cards.  Forget the "drama".  The Browns are the better team.

Updated w/l prediction: 9-7





No comments: