Sunday, September 17, 2017

Last Minute Ravens v Browns Fantasy Advice Tee-hee

My best advice of all is don't listen to me.

Now then, you might consider the Ravens defense here, but maybe not the special teams.  This really is an impressive defense at every level.  There really are no soft spots, but the softEST spots are at linebacker and cornerback.

Hard to say that, but Suggs is a nominal linebacker but isn't wasted in coverage.  CJ Mosely is terrific, but the other guys aren't like either of these two "linebackers".

But matchup-wise, the Browns defense (and special teams) are a better bet here, because the Ravens offense is being overrated, while what the Browns did to the Steelers offense is being ignored.

Maclin might be ok at his price, but you can find much better deals.  Taylor couldn't hang with Brown all day, but Maclin aint Brown ok?  Ok?

Corey Coleman is Kizer's favorite receiver and the scariest guy so the Ravens will be all over him, but only after they stuff Crowell.  I was still tempted to take him because none of those corners can man up with this player, but didn't.

Britt will go deep a lot and be single-covered.  The Ravens will try to swamp Kizer along with Crowell on first downs, so if the blockers can slow that down, or Kizer buys some time, he could burn them.  But don't take Britt.

Kizer could be a sleeper, because he's 5100 on draft kings.  See while it's stupid to assume that he'll be playing from behind, it is more likely than not that he'll find himself in too many second and third and longs, and have to pass.

He may well deliberately run more in this one and get some ground yardage.  At 5100, if he manages to do what he did last week, that's a good deal.

My one Browns deep sleeper (aside from the defense and special teams, which are obvious to any objective observer), is Duke Johnson.

The Ravens are short depth at cornerback, and as a slot guy Duke gets the specialist, or possibly one of those exceptional safeties, or even CJ Mosely--but the presence of Njoku and/or DeValve will make it hard for them to do that stuff.

Any of the passes Kizer overthrew to him last week would have been huge, massive plays, and he kept trying, because Duke was open all day.  The Ravens can't take him away, at least from the slot, without backing off Kizer and Crowell or else single-covering Coleman.

If you rely exclusively on stats or highlight films, you ignore the "almost" plays and their potential.

Kizer will also be forced to look at Duke again this week, and never gave up on him last week either.  He just needs to put more air under those balls, and look tf out.

Ok well nobody will read that in time to screw me up haha time to publish

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