Browns Stretch their Lead in First Overall Derby

The New York Giants have fallen two games behind in the First Overall Draft Plck Derby, but it looks bad for them.

Orleans Darkwa is giving Eli Manning a viable running game, and they're running a more balanced offense.

The Niners remain a threat, but Garopollo looms over them like a black cloud, and this is another young team, with talent, which is starting to stabalize and mature in new offensive and defensive systems.

The Browns have a lot of help with Joe Thomas, Jamie Meder, Ogbah, and Jamie Collins all on IR, but the overall defense has continued to play well in spite of that, and the offensive line (and a tight end) have protected Kizer.

The defensive losses will help the most.  Ogbah was Garrett's bookend.  Nate Orchard is no slouch, however, and the people predicting that the Red Rocket will have all day to throw are delusional.

Meder had a lot to do with stopping the run, but Ogunjobi, Coley, and Brantley can take up that slack.  Jamie Collins can't be replaced.  That one is going to help.

But there's lots of bad news here, even in addition to Corey Coleman and Josh Gordon: It has apparently dawned on Hue Lewis that he should use Duke Johnson more! 

That could screw everything up, because Duke (as a pure runner) fits all blocking schemes, including the one Hue brought from the caves with him.

Rather than zone-block to make the most of Isaiah Crowell, it's looking like Hue will just sort of "phase him out" in favor of Duke instead.

While this is stupid, it will probably work out, and Hue Jackson will accidentally upgrade his running game.

The Ben Gals are heavily favored this sunday.  That's as it should be.  The specific matchups favor the Bungles overall.

I still fear an upset:

1: Corey Coleman is uncoverable.  He is too "sudden" and fast for any cornerback.  He is 6' tall and over 200 lbs, but darts and dashes like a little shrimp.
Coleman's growth from raw rookie to second year starter has been impressive, and he instantly became Kizer's favorite target, and didn't screw up at all.

2: Njoku's "light" may have come on, and Rodney DeValvefield has been here all along.  

3: If you are still saying that DeShone Kizer has "nobody to throw to", you are a certifiable cretin (don't forget Duke).

4: If you think that Andy Dalton will have all day to throw because Ogbah is gone, you are wrong.  If the Bungles focus on Myles Garrett, which they have to, it will cost them a tight end, and/or leave others (including Orchard, Nassib, Coley, etc) blocked man on man.  And standard procedure for Gregg Williams is to send a fifth passrusher on neutral or passing downs.

5: The Bengals have not been very good this season, especially in running the ball.  They have massive talent and depth at running back, but it just hasn't translated into performance for them.  And if you think the 2017 Cleveland Browns defense will fix that, you are psychotic.

6: Marvin Lewis is the Bengals Head Coach.

7: Vontez Burfict, who should be in prison, will almost certainly hurt his team more than help it, unless he succeeds in maiming or knocking Coleman or Johnson out.

8: 5 sacks by the Jagwires has nothing to do with the Ben gals.  The Jags passrush is exceptional (as is their coverage).  The Bangles defense isn't in the same league.

Still, the Bengals are very talented, and Andy Dalton is underrated, so I remain optimistic that they will beat the Browns.

The Browns need every loss they can get right now, because after Josh Gordon comes back, it's a new ball game.

Go Niners!  Go Giants! 

UPDATE: More bad news: The Browns just brought Tyrone Holmes up from the practice squad.  He's very similar to Nate Orchard.  The Browns now have edge-rushers out the yinyang.

Holmes is a second-year player who lost out to the more experienced Orchard and a promising Nassib as a rookie, but he's physically almost an Orchard clone.

Sashi didn't draft Orchard, but signed Holmes.  

Orchard and Holmes are "football players" first.  At this level, they are not elite edge-rushers, but are above average; indeed not far behind Ogbah (Ogbah is quicker and faster).

All three were projected as potential 3-4 OLBs, however, which says a lot about their athleticism.  Holmes, like the other two, can "set the edge", and (zone) cover, and defend the run like a linebacker.

Orchard/Holmes aint Ogbah, but still overmatch most NFL right tackles as edge-rushers.

Myles Garrett overmatches most NFL left tackles, and opponents need to use potential receivers to help out (much like Hue is using a tight end like a de-facto left tackle to help Rango out). 

That leaves four real offensive linemen to stop three remaining defensive line passrushers.

It's not that simple, however, since Gregg Williams sends a fifth passrusher over 40% of the time, from random back-seven positions.

These blitzers ALL overmatch offensive linemen.  Tom Brady, Drew Brees, and Aaron Rodgers can defeat this consistently, but 29 other quarterbacks can't, so most opposing offenses need to keep a back in to pick this blitze up.

The offensive line can now double-team one defensive lineman...but not the other two.

FACT: Coley, Ogunjobi, Shelton, Brantley, Orchard, Holmes, and Nassib can ALL beat one offensive lineman more often than not, and that goes for Myles Garrett vs double-teams as well.

Gregg Williams knows what he's doing.  

Most of his blitzes are through the A-gaps, and that's partly why this defense stuffs the run so well.  

So far, opposing quarterbacks have strafed this defense, but Joe Haden wasn't Joe Haden anymore, McCourtey was injured, Peppers is a rookie, Taylor has frankly sucked, and opposing offenses have played from "ahead", and worn the secondary down.

Ah the hell with it you aint listening "Day suck!" why do I bother okbye