Friday, June 16, 2017

QBs, Nassib, Dumbasitude, Chicken Little, and the Browns

I'm not a Doctor, but stayed at a Holiday Inn Express, and have a theory about Myles Garrett's bumb foot:

This foot is attached to the sprained ankle he played through last season.  That ankle had to be immobilized.

If it had been the right ankle, he probably couldn't have played at all, but as it was, he could still drive off that one.  But he was playing "flat-footed" with his left leg.

When he was getting blocked on the run, he couldn't plant his left foot behind him, or sink his hips.  You get it, right?  Booger McFarland and Warren Sapp might not get it, but I'm sure you do (now).

But as careful as he tried to be with that foot, there is no question that the arch was subjected to extraordinary stress.  If you're being driven back by a big lineman, and one of your ankles won't bend, your FOOT tries to bend more.  It's impressive that he never broke it!

Yes, he appeared to have regained his health 100%, but I suspect that while the ankle healed (reducing the extra stress on the arch), a lesser injury, or perhaps some sort of fatigue, in the arch itself, was never allowed to fully heal.

Garrett was killing himself to impress everybody at the combine, then was actually in training with the Browns.  Probably, the foot was nagging him all along, but he wasn't about to tell anyone, and probably just figured it would get better by itself.

I precribe just letting him rest it for several weeks.  He can still pump iron and swim and ride bikes but just shouldn't run or even walk fast.  Soak it a lot.  And take two aspirins and call me at the Holiday Inn Express in the morning.

Of course, it could be too late.  Maybe the knucklehead weakened it to the point where it was ripe for something to pop, and it finally did.

Man, this "rub some dirt on it" crap gets out of hand sometimes.  He should have just said "It's still not right", but ok ok been there/done that I can't pick on him much.

You mark my words, and remember who told you:  Playing with that bad ankle caused this.

Assuming this isn't yet another lisfranc thing or something, this is more good news than bad for the Browns overall.

While there have been massive passrushing busts in the past, the Myles Garrett story will be what it is.  He was NFL-ready.  He can improve, but not much.

Ogbah has pretty much defaulted to left (strong side) DE now, but Gregg Williams needs to sort the rest of these defensive ends out, and some of them need all the reps they can get to (read this carefully) D E V E L O P.

We must first discard every depth chart I've read so far.  Jamie Meder, Des Bryant, and Xavier Cooper are not defensive ends here, ok?

Rodney Nassibfield broke his hand as a R O O K I E, and generally failed to impress during his F I R S T NFL season, but he remains 6'7", still led the NCAA in sacks, and I expect can still run a 40 in under 4.75 seconds at 290-plus lbs.

Compared to the rest of the non-Garrett field, he's really better on the strong side, but I expect Gregg Williams to test him on the weak side here, first up behind Garrett.  This is because Ogbah has been moved to the strong side (out of a different scheme), and is a second year player himself.

The coaches feel that Ogbah "fits" there, and will probably resist the temptation to move him around at this point in his D E V E L O P M E N T.

For the majority of NFL teams, Nassib is a good 4-3 weakside defensive end prospect anyway.  

Now, MKC has talked about Nassib's offseason focus on developing his lower body strength "in an effort to imrove his explosiveness".  WRONG.  

1: "explosiveness" is largely genetic.  It can be enhanced through strength training, but only a little.
2: Nassib was top-heavy (great for male models, bad for 6'7" defensive linemen), and he needed a bigger butt and legs to lower his center of balance.  Sorry, ladies.
3: Nassib already has an above-average "first step", or "get-off".  This was never an issue for him.
4: Last season, Nassib was trying to be a 3-4 defensive end, which usually placed him inside, between a tackle and a guard, and more often than not two-gapping; trying to engage and neutralize the right tackle on neutral downs.  He was driven back too often here.  Long before Williams was hired, he went to work on his lower body in order to help him stand up to right tackles (and double-teams) as an inside lineman vs the run.
4a: This was about leverage and power.  Not "explosiveness".

No loss here.  Nassib should indeed be a little quicker off the ball.  As a F O U R-three or two (or one I dunno) defensive end, playing from outside the offensive tackle, Carl is returning to the position he excelled at in college.

Nassib is not a "bender", like Garrett.  He uses his quickness and hands to beat offensive linemen on quarterback-hunts.  The majority of NFL left tackles won't be able to handle Nassib 2.0.

Most left tackles will still be stronger, and have a leverage advantage, but Nassib will still be much quicker and faster, can still get his hands on them first, and with these advantages plus a stronger lower body, should be able to unbalance them vs the pass, or stand up to them vs the run.

THINK:  Seth DeValve went from 245 to 260.  The 6'7" Nassib, who kept his weight down heading into his own draft because he was a 3-4 OLB prospect, was still crowding 278 lbs when the Browns drafted him.

Nassib 2.0 gave up playing linebacker a long time ago.  That meant he had to get bigger and stronger.  290 lbs is a conservative estimate here, and if you deduct LARD, it makes him bigger than most NFL offensive linemen including guards dammit...

Sorry I went off there...it's just...how tf can you have written this guy off already!?!

Nate Orchard is next up.  I think leading the NCAA in sacks should mean something here again too, but that's just me.

Orchard's combine numbers were just ok.  Unimpressive.

But I like him, a LOT, because the Browns turned him from a 4-3 DE into a 3-4 OLB and near the end of his R O O K I E,  F I R S T NFL season, he came on strong.  That's in terms of sacks alone.  Take that with a block of salt, since he did it vs a couple teams who massively underestimated him, and was otherwise stifled (as a passrusher).

Still, Nate Orchard as a R O O K I E turned out to be a pretty good 3-4 OLB!  Yes he DID!  In run defense, and in coverage!

Nate Orchard is everyman.  Blue collar.  A "football player", dammit!  Some how, some way, he just "does his job", whatever it is.  Smart.  Great instincts.  Orchard might never "start" again, but unless he's deemed too fragile, he makes Williams' team, and will play.

Before moving on to a new subject, Cam Johnson is a scary edge-rusher and a decent linebacker as well, and a better athlete than Orchard too.

New subject: Joe Shobert (Rodney Shobertfield).  Joe Shobert is a short, small linebacker who does not test well physicly.  Early last season, Ray Horton started him at 3-4 OLB.

I was shocked.  But then he was "deleted".

His deletion didn't surprise me, because Joe Shobert is a real linebacker, and by no means a 3-4 hybrid defensive end linebacker.

He fits a ton better in this Gregg Williams 2017 Browns defense.  He fit as an inside linebacker for Ray Horton, but I grok why Ray liked the other guys better.

But there's a new sheriff in town...

Shobert is not a great athlete, but has great instincts, and is really intelligent.  I can't put him in front of Collins or Kirksey, but absolutely guarantee that he makes this team as a critical backup.

...OK next he gets cut.  Story of my life.  Gregg doesn't answer my emails either.  What more can I do?

On the quarterbacks, well like I said.  Now you get the assistant coaches backing me up.  I really like the "Daddy Long-legs" reference to Osweiler though!  Yeah that says it!

MKC and company keep misinterpreting everything, and overthinking.

(Redundancy Alert) While it's probably true that Hue Jackson's ideal quarterback is DeShone Kizer-sized, with Kizer's arm, so is every other Head Coach's in the NFL, dating back to the caves and trees.

I'm telling you right now, Cody Kessler is the best quarterback here, right now.  I'm reminding you that, in Hue Jackson's own words, he prioritizes accuracy, protecting the ball, and intelligence first and foremost in a quarterback DO YOU U N D E R S T A N D?

Per Wiley (who I have discovered is pretty damn good!)  et al, once you sift through the "potential" stuff, Kessler is on top, Osweiler is second (and self-correction: it's not close), and Kizer is third (and a mile).

...Like I said.

There's a long road between here and Game One vs the Yinzers.  Osweiler has a shot, but can only prove it in preseason (and not before).  He has to face and defeat real pressure.

That's his achilles heel...like I said (blush-blush).

I don't count Osweiler out, but because I...alone, apparently...comprehend that Hue Jackson values accuracy over power, and tips his hat to mobility as well, I expect Cody Kessler to start game one.

I have to repeat this here:  YOU, and Mary Kay, etc are a whole lot more fixated on height and strong arms than Hue Jackson ever was.

Now, per Wiley, Kizer could become a monster if he fixes his mechanical flaws.  But his mechanical flaws are significant!  

Per Wiley himself, in re both Kizer and Osweiler, under pressure, their mechanics break down.  

Here I gotta tip my hat to Wiley for being honest, as well as extremely educational  btw...and for saying what I said (blush-blush).

I'll take it from here:  Osweiler is a seasoned vet with better tools than Kessler, so you can't count him out.  Kessler is a Jackson pick (screw yourself if you say Sashi "inflicted" him on him Rothchild boy), and has a better arm than Joe Montana and Chad Pennington and Brian Sipe and well nevermind you're just clueless ok?

It's critical that DeShone Kizer is not put under fire any time soon.  As Wiley himself said, he will "revert" under pressure.  Wiley was inarticulate in another statement, but I'm here to translate:

"How many potential franchise quarterbacks went to hell because they were forced to start too early?"

DeShone Kizer needs to "marinate".  He needs to reprogram his muscle-memory, and sort of re-make himself before he goes into combat.  If he doesn't get this done before he plays a real game, he will revert under pressure, and crap out.

Those who think Kizer should start game one (vs the Steelers) should be careful what they wish for.

Colin Cowherd "thinks"(if you can call it that) otherwise, but a carefully nurtured DeShone Kizer just might be a better option for the Cleveland Browns than any quarterback in the 2018 draft.

I'm not sure.  Wiley's breakdown/prognosis makes me optimistic about Kizer.  I AM sure that Cowherd is clueless, however.

And I saw Sipe and Montana (and Bill Nelson), so I'm not writing Kessler off either.

This I can say for sure:  The Browns quarterback will be surrounded by scary weapons, have elite bodyguards, and at least an above average defense (oh yeah and Cowherd is a dumbass) in 2017.

I just heard from "Browns Freak" and Tramon Williams on NFL Radio:

Browns Freak, the Browns might have a quarterback, Britt is more than a journeyman, you're the only one on this planet who doubts Corey Coleman's ability..."only one linebacker" oh come ON, man what tf is wrong with you!?  You're even worse than Black Cloud.  How much does Pat Kirwan pay you to call in?  Does he write your scripts for you?

Tramon: Stop saying you asked to be released.  Everybody knows how old you are, what you got paid, and who started at cornerback last season.  


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