Changed My Mind Again.

Smith.  Definitely Geno Smith.

Ah, shaddap!  I finally saw some films of him, and was amazed.  All the quarterback-bashing of this draft class (among the pundits) has become insane.

Last season, Russell Wilson was thought to be a "good backup eventually".  You had Luck and RGIII and guys named Joe.

Smith isn't at their level, but he looks better than Tannehill and Weeden did, and that's where objective people will put him.  Right below the former two, mainly because he's a junior.

Yeah Joe Banner said he wouldn't use his top pick on a quarterback "at this time", and then said "I will never lie to you" HAAA-HAHAHAHAHAHA!

No, I'm not saying that they WILL draft Geno with the 6th overall pick, only that I would.  But trust me: Chud and Turner aren't going to sit back and let anybody else make all the decisions, and both of these guys know quarterbacks.  If I'm wrong, they won't take him, and they know better than me.

So stipulated.  But once again, some of the scouting reports I read were over-the-top critical.  I believe that the negativity came from their focus on his worst games.

Apparantly in those games he got antsy when he had to check down, and locked onto his recievers.

But this is the difference between a pundit and a real scout: You don't zero in on one or two games and generalize.  You don't say "Is uncomfortable when he has to check to his second and third reads" or "Tends to lock onto his target" and ignore how he's performed in the vast majority of his games.

That's the opposite.  He moves well in the pocket, progresses smoothly, looks off safeties, throws first, runs last, can throw on the run (keeps his eyes downfield), and even called his own plays.

You don't question his offensive system because he's thrown a lot of passes underneath when I just watched a highlight tape FULL OF beautiful, perfect long bombs!  How can you express doubt about his arm or deep accuracy when it's on tape!?

Chud likes the pistol and the zone-read.  This has been massively exhaggerrated, as if he intends to make this his base offense.  But he would like to use it sometimes, and Smith can run it.  Weeden can do the Pistol as well as anybody, but not the zone read.

If they did draft Smith, Weeden could still hold onto his job (for awhile), because he really doesn't suck simply because, as the only rookie stuck in a West Coast offense, he fell on his face.

Don't start with the "wasted pick" stuff based on that.  This is a quarterback, and as Gil Brandt, Bill Parcells, and others have said, you never pass on a potential franchise quarterback, even if you have a Peyton Manning or a Tom Brady already.

And when you say "Smith isn't worthy of a top ten pick", I'll say what Pat Kirwin says:  "Did you get that out of your $7.99 draft guide that you got at the drug store?"

If it's me and I go on the clock, I'm running to the podium with Geno Smith's name on my card (then running back to get behind my armed guards and my bullet-proof dome.  Not sure how I'd get home safely...but I digress).

The biggest thing with this kid?  Well, you can expect his coach to back him and say he's great.  Ok, but he also coached Brandon Weeden, and was far less enthusiastic about Weeden's work ethic and dedication.  The contrast is stark.  This guy clearly thinks Smith is the superior quarterback.

Again, Weeden could do well this season, and turn himself into excellent trade-bait.  A quarterback is currency; an investment you can cash in later for draft picks.

If you believe that everybody else on the planet is wrong and you are right, you should do it.

Draft Geno Smith.