Tuesday, July 17, 2018

Ebineezer Bell NOT a Future Brown, PFF Meant No Offense, and Stuff

The Browns have lots of money, but they're not going to pay an older running back wide receiver money so they can bench Duke Johnson and Chubb.

...what is wrong with you people?  You are assuming that the 2019 Ebineezer Bell will be as good as the 2018 Bell?  You assume that simply because the Browns are one of the few teams who can afford his ungodly salary demands, they will?  WHY?

Is it the Jarvis Landry thing?  A lot of smart people think Dorsey overpaid him, but to expect him to treat a running back like a wide receiver is really dumb, since running backs' life expectancies are a lot shorter than wide receivers'.

I know I'm not Leonardo DaVinci, but I gotta say, you clowns make me FEEL that smart...in contrast to YOU.

Sigh...Jarvis Landry should remain productive and healthy throughout his contract.  Ebineezer Bell will not.  He is a running back.  

Sigh...wide receivers last at least FIVE YEARS longer than running backs on average DO YOU UNDERSTAND?

Sigh...this is THE biggest reason why Ebineezer's crusade to revise running back salaries is doomed: Jarvis Landry might improve throughout his own contract, and at least have nice trade value.  Ebineezer, on the other hand, will almost certainly decline, and amount to massive DEAD MONEY dammit this is obvious ohmmm....ohmmm...

Nevermind I can't win here.  It's like trying to teach arithmatic to six year olds.................

PFF ranks the Browns' passrush among the lowest in the NFL.  I take no offense to this whatsoever.

PFF can "only go by what they see", and are bound to rely on historical data.  They can't speculate, or express opinions.

I, and a whole bunch of legit experts, and you, know that this ranking is rediculous, and so do most of the writers at PFF (but these writers can't really say so):

"Analytics" is the objective PART of analysis.  It was never intended to replace coaches or scouts.

I'm sure that Mister Spock would be a pretty good Captain, but Captain Kirk (with his help) was superior.  PFF is Mister Spock, see?

We humans know that the upgraded coverage will give the passrushers more time.  That Ogunjobi, Brantley, Coley, Garrett, and even Ogbah are ascending players.  That they just added a couple more defensive linemen they think will help.

PFF had no choice in these rankings.  They have to stick to the numbers.  The minute they start speculating, they blow their credibility.  

You need to take Numberfire, PFF, et al in context.  Remember Captain Kirk asking Mister Spock for the odds of a proposed course of action succeeding?  Spock always said something like "seventy seven point three seven four percent chance of failure", and Kirk did it anyway?

Well, the human half of Mister Spock would know that the 2018 Cleveland Browns will present a scary passrush, but his Vulcan half says that's illogical and won't let him say it.

Does anybody else get this?

Now, guys like Wyche or MacAdoo can say stuff like this, and we can call them fulla crap/ignorant or whatever.  But the Analytics guys are different.

They'll be right most of the time, but they lack imagination, and can't "project" much.

This is why Sashi Brown and Paul DePodesta repeatedly said that analytics was a tool, never intended to replace coaches or scouts.

PFF is Mister Spock.  Gregg Williams is Captain Kirk.  PFF and Williams disagree on the 2018 Browns passrush.

Williams will obviously be correct.  But DePodesta is still here, and Kirk never fired Spock, either.

The 2018 Browns will be (at least) in the top ten in sacks and pressures.

PFF will have more data, and in 2019 will rank the Browns passrush much higher.  Don't be a Doctor McCoy about this, okay?

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