Ray's Quarterback Edited

First, english is my first language, so I should translate what Ray Farmer said for many of you:  After saying he had a quarterback in mind, he said "He might not be (who you're thinking)".

"Might not" is not the same as "won't".  Look these words up.

Anyway, what if it's not Bortles, Bridgewater, or Manziel?

NOTE: I don't believe that it was ever Manziel.  I mean LaCanfora--yeah right.  Manziel is a great player who most scouts and GMs I've heard from don't believe will EVER be a pocket passer.  He's NOT like Brees or Wilson, and he WILL get the snot beat out of him.

Also. based on what I've heard from these legitimate experts, Manziel is the one most likely to be there at #4, and most of the Manziel hype is being manufactured or hallucinated by guys like LaCanfora.

It's possible that Ray could trade up for Bridgewater or Bortles, but back to the premise: Ray's guy is none of those three (HYPOTHETICAL DO YOU UNDERSTAND?)

My first thought was David Carr, but I now know that he had a dismal Bowl game.  Big deal he kicked ass at the combine.  But finally I hit  secondroundstats.com and checked out the four top guys, including Carr.

Wow.  Carr's completion percentage drops below 50% under pressure, while the other guys remain over 56%.  Scouts have also questioned his accuracy.

I'm not running to the bank with this, since it could be that Carr is more willing to throw the ball away; it could be a good thing, and lines up with his really good TD/INT ratio.  Still, the other three DID deliver under pressure more often, so it's got to be a red flag.

LATE EDIT:  Carr is the worst on passes over 20 yards, so questions about his accuracy resonate.  I'm off the Carr wagon.

Somebody else I know had that red flag.  I think it was Brandon Wedone.

Still, Farmer knows best.  We'll see.

Cousins?  Could be, I guess.  But Browns fans only know that he came in as a rookie and tore the Browns apart.  While we were asleep, he started several games for Philly in his second year and sucked.  (Well so did RG3 so it could be a team thing there's the asterisk).

It's not Garropollo(sp?).  That guy is a West Coast QB with a Colt McCoy arm.

Mallet?  I don't know.  I hear all the hype, but it's just that.  Only Farmer knows.

Josh Freeman?  Don't laugh.  I don't know what happened, but he was damn good for awhile and he'd be dirt-cheap (low risk).

If there's anybody else in this draft who might develop, I can't find him.

So I'm wildly guessing that possibly it's Carr, and that alarming under-pressure percentage drop just means that he knows when to throw it away.

The importance of Bowl Games is inflated in the eyes of pundits and fans.  I've heard from Kirwan, Polian, and Brandt that it's not that big a deal unless it's actually the quarterback's fault.

ANOTHER LATE EDIT:  Sounds like it was.

The scouting combine and Senior Bowl game means much more to scouts, as they are working against elite talent.  Carr was the best QB both throughout the week and in the game.

Farmer, Pettine, and Shanahan will also have a much more accurate read on Rodney Hoyerfield than we do.  Pettine will go over the 2.25 games he has on tape, and know exactly how a defensive coordinator would attack him.  

He might disagree with the population of Oblivia and think he's already got a franchise quarterback.  

I believe that if either Bridgewater or Bortles is there at number four, Farmer pulls the trigger.  I even think that if he finds it neccessary to trade up for one of them, he might.

But if Manziel is the guy at four, I think he trades out.  He'll of course be pretending he loves Manziel (no doubt he'll have it being reported as fact by guys like LaCanfora, which I think is funny).

The Raiders are pretty desperate for a quarterback, and might make a deal to move up from five.  Could be worth a second round pick.  And he might do it again--or take Carr who he liked all along.  Maybe.  I'm guessing.

I mean, he'll have all the tapes.  He'll single out every pressure situation Carr faced and look for himself.  Why did he miss?  Was he dancing around with blown mechanics?  Off his back foot?  Or did he just throw it away because he's more mature than the other guys?

Note: Ray Farmer was a safety.  Safeties are QB experts.

Mel Kiper has Bridgewater there for the Browns at four, and I would love for him to be right.  Check him out on secondroundstats.com/!

And he might draft Manziel what do I know?

If Ray can't get a quarterback WORTH the number four pick, he will probably be able to, and absolutely should, trade down.  The FOURTH-ranked wide reciever is Mike Evans.

Check him out on second round stats!  A large number of his receptions were come-backs, as Manziel was scrambling--and yet his YAC yards were the highest of the four top wide recievers!!!

Although Watkins was very close, Evans also DROPPED THE FEWEST PASSES DO YOU HEAR ME?

Everybody (including Mike Mayock) is ranting about Watkins, and for sure he's a home-run hitter and yeah--the best WR in this draft.  It would be awesome to have this guy AND Josh Gordon, but I'd rather have Evans and somebody else--like a really good guard or inside linebacker.

The Browns don't need another number one coverage-dictating reciever, but do need a (preferably) big, reliable number two who can move the chains and make people pay for doubling Gordon.  (Make them pay by running them over...I really like that...)

And Mayock said it himself when discussing Carr at 26: If the Browns have confidence in Hoyer, why would they want a guy who, in Mayock's opinion, can be a good (but will never be a great) starter?

Good point!

I'm glad Ray is a brother.  Political correctness should protect him from a lynching when if he doesn't trade his whole draft away to move up and get a not-Andrew-Luck, or if he passes on Manziel.