I'm glad Isaiah Crowell is going to Dallas for deprogramming, and can now forgive him for being a sheep.
It's hard to combat brainwashing when the Comrades from Black Lives Matter will be on stage at the DNC, but at least Crowell should become a voice of sanity.
In an especially good question for Mary Kay Cabot on "Hey Mary Kay", the writer said he felt the Browns would win five games, then nine games in the next two seasons.
That's about right, but like Mary Kay, I feel a lot depends on RG3. While there are a lot of questions about this guy, the sky is his limit, and the potential is here to exceed those projections.
I did not just predict that he would. I wrote what I wrote, period. Read it again if you need to.
The talk about Terrell Pryor's role is getting silly again. He probably will do some Mohammud Sanu type plays, but so will Corey Coleman.
But both are much, much faster/more dangerous than Sanu, and Pryor is much bigger and taller. Sanu was an asterisk on the Bengals. These players will have a much bigger impact.
And I repeat: Terrell Pryor will be competing to START at wide receiver in game one.
Monday, July 25, 2016
Sunday, July 17, 2016
Terry Pluto: You Wrong, Man!
Terry Pluto here wrote a good and bad article. The Crowell part was good, mostly, except, like most paid writers, he gave propaganda more credence than reality warrants.
I have to ask this, by the way: Have Bill Livingston and Ben Dover ever been seen in the same place at the same time?
He was right that Crowell shouldn't be waived, however. The idiot has scrambled to make amends, and the music in my ears is his professed intention to "work with" police. He should be deprogrammed shortly, and ready to tell black kids everywhere that they have been brainwashed.
I know how this will play out, because in addition to being taught to think with my brain, I was part of Cleveland's law enforcement community, and know that the first four or so deprogrammers Isaiah will meet will be black.
Pluto and Livingston need to talk to these guys too.
But kudos to Terry for including a hostile response from a police officer, who I wouldn't be surprised to find out was black.
Sorry if "black" offends you. "African-American" is just silly. Get over it.
Anyway, Terry doesn't seem to understand the Horton defense as well as he should either (must have been distracted--this is rare).
Horton's 3-4 is unique. Terry thinks that Hughes and Cooper might start at DE. He says he's heard that Hassan is a bit of a project. He mentions one of my own favorites in Jamie Meder...
Well I'm nit-picking here, since Terry is talking about good players all-around, BUT:
Cooper doesn't match up well with offensive tackles. He belongs inside, in a one-gap attack scheme.
Hughes could neutralize a right tackle vs the run, but lacks the speed to pursue outside.
Horton could tweak his scheme, I guess, but if we stick with his ideal, we need two physical penetrators at nose tackle and right defensive end, and a truly athletic long/tall guy at left defensive end.
In point of fact, Horton's ideal left defensive end is the only REAL defensive end in his line, since both other guys are actually over inside gaps.
Hassan is the only guy on this roster who can play LEFT defensive end the way Ray needs it played.
As I posted earlier, the 3-4 "base" is almost a joke, since like every other defense, the Browns will be in nickels and dimes at least 70% of the time.
This roster is overloaded at inside linebacker, and includes four outside linebackers capable of deploying as defensive ends.
Terry is making a mountain out of a molehill. Hassan can fill the left DE base-role on 30% of the downs, as long as Ray keeps it simple for him at first.
As I posted earlier as well, he should come in at 290 lbs or more, now that he's not trying to convince GMs that he can play OLB. He can keep the tackles off him with his reach, and overmatches them athletically.
Each and every alternative front could eliminate his position with legitimate 4-3 defensive end (or something else-remember this is Ray Horton).
Terry, relax. Des will definitely be missed. It will hurt. But we got this. No new retreads required. Please shut the alarms down. You woke everybody up.
I have to ask this, by the way: Have Bill Livingston and Ben Dover ever been seen in the same place at the same time?
He was right that Crowell shouldn't be waived, however. The idiot has scrambled to make amends, and the music in my ears is his professed intention to "work with" police. He should be deprogrammed shortly, and ready to tell black kids everywhere that they have been brainwashed.
I know how this will play out, because in addition to being taught to think with my brain, I was part of Cleveland's law enforcement community, and know that the first four or so deprogrammers Isaiah will meet will be black.
Pluto and Livingston need to talk to these guys too.
But kudos to Terry for including a hostile response from a police officer, who I wouldn't be surprised to find out was black.
Sorry if "black" offends you. "African-American" is just silly. Get over it.
Anyway, Terry doesn't seem to understand the Horton defense as well as he should either (must have been distracted--this is rare).
Horton's 3-4 is unique. Terry thinks that Hughes and Cooper might start at DE. He says he's heard that Hassan is a bit of a project. He mentions one of my own favorites in Jamie Meder...
Well I'm nit-picking here, since Terry is talking about good players all-around, BUT:
Cooper doesn't match up well with offensive tackles. He belongs inside, in a one-gap attack scheme.
Hughes could neutralize a right tackle vs the run, but lacks the speed to pursue outside.
Horton could tweak his scheme, I guess, but if we stick with his ideal, we need two physical penetrators at nose tackle and right defensive end, and a truly athletic long/tall guy at left defensive end.
In point of fact, Horton's ideal left defensive end is the only REAL defensive end in his line, since both other guys are actually over inside gaps.
Hassan is the only guy on this roster who can play LEFT defensive end the way Ray needs it played.
As I posted earlier, the 3-4 "base" is almost a joke, since like every other defense, the Browns will be in nickels and dimes at least 70% of the time.
This roster is overloaded at inside linebacker, and includes four outside linebackers capable of deploying as defensive ends.
Terry is making a mountain out of a molehill. Hassan can fill the left DE base-role on 30% of the downs, as long as Ray keeps it simple for him at first.
As I posted earlier as well, he should come in at 290 lbs or more, now that he's not trying to convince GMs that he can play OLB. He can keep the tackles off him with his reach, and overmatches them athletically.
Each and every alternative front could eliminate his position with legitimate 4-3 defensive end (or something else-remember this is Ray Horton).
Terry, relax. Des will definitely be missed. It will hurt. But we got this. No new retreads required. Please shut the alarms down. You woke everybody up.
Wednesday, July 13, 2016
Go Terrell Watson!
I have to remain objective and restate that Isaiah Crowell could be a workhorse, big play running back, and that most criticisms of him are at least wrong and often downright stupid.
That's the analyst talking. But my inner-fan is hoping and praying that the bigger, stronger Terrell Watson will elbow him out of the way.
I've said and done some incredibly stupid things in my life, and it's very rare that I can say this: I was NEVER that stupid, or that LOW.
Crowell needs to go through some cop training and do some ride-alongs to get his head extracted. Then he needs to tell black kids cops aren't the enemy.
A disproportionate number of murder victims are black, but most of their killers are black too. The Poe-lease are trying to protect the former from the latter, and are treated like enemies.
This is bullcrap. I REMEMBER the dogs and fire hoses and Medgar Evers, and Crowell is a SHEEP being led---
I'm sorry. I'll move on to more important things:
Desmond Bryant might have been THE best defensive player on the Browns, and this one hurts.
I haven't read all the articles, but skimming the titles, one that stood out was that the Browns were hurt by this loss at an "already thin" position.
Well, if the writer meant at left defensive end in Ray Horton's defense, yep. But if he meant defensive line in general, that's just dumb.
This puts Hassan on the fast track, and probably makes him the nominal starter at LDE in Bryant's stead. The remaining guys don't have anywhere near his length, and don't match up well with offensive tackles.
The team remains VERY deep at the other two defensive line spots, and at every spot in situational defensive fronts.
This will effect how Ray Horton uses people: Today's NFL rotates defensive linemen a lot, as they get worn down. Hassan is a rookie used to shorter seasons, and is also light for his position.
Rookies tend to hit a "wall" after week twelve (it's fascinating, really. Their bodies actually seem to be "programmed" to sort of shut down after a specific number of games).
Hassan is in harm's way. He's toe-to-toe with a big goon who is also athletic, and he'll get chipped and cut. The opposing team as of game one will target him with runs. With pulling guards and fullbacks. He's the undersized rookie passrusher, so they'll bully him, try to make him hesitate, and wear him out.
Ray knows all of this, so he might change his plans to use Hassan inside (see earlier post: I think this meant have him biased inside the right tackle and hitting the b-gap). Hassan might now shade outside the right tackle to protect him from the other blockers.
He might scrap any plans he had to put him inside situationally in order to rest him.
He might also use more 4 man fronts to get him off the field.
You must understand that Ogbah, Orchard, and Kruger are all legitimate 4-3 defensive ends (indeed better than Hassan in this front). It's even possible that the bigger/badder Mingo could do just fine here too.
There is no NEED to overuse Hassan here, and that long, tall left defensive end is only critical in one of many potential defensive fronts.
So while Des Bryant will be missed, some of you need to kill the alarm sirens, ok?
Related: Schobert and Kirksey are as good outside as they are inside, the Browns are eyeball deep in real linebackers, and two of the safeties excell in the box.
Back to running back: As a newly-minted Watson fan, I see several logical and rational reasons to hope that he will play more and a certain brainwashed frontrunning ignorant sheep will play less.
Because of his catch radius, and (probably) hand-size, he might well be the better receiver.
Because of his greater reach and size, he looks like a better blocker, either in pass protection or for the run.
Because Watson has no history of being tackled by fingertips or wind-gusts, he's number one here, too.
Crowell did have more success in a zone blocking scheme than with man blocking, and it now looks like the 2016 Browns are going man-heavy.
Crowell is faster, can make people miss, and will make more big plays.
Watson will break more tackles, is probably more reliable, and can literally wear a defense down.
In a two-back, Watson/Johnson makes more sense than Crowell/Johnson, because he is more thunderous to Duke's lightening.
Lots to consider here:
When Duke splits out at wide receiver, Crowell has a slight edge, because he is much more dangerous in space. While Watson will probably be the better pass-protector, and maybe even the more reliable receiver, I am forced to admit that Baah-Baah is more dangerous.
But that's general: Here Watson should be the better/more consistent inside runner. So it's very close, and will vary by situation and opponent.
In a two two-back in which Duke does NOT split out, it's Watson hands-down.
He will be the better lead-blocker, better pass protector should Duke peel out, and of course the better tackle-breaker in the heavier traffic a two-back engenders between the tackles.
Watson had a lot of carries and took a lot of abuse in college. He has had, basically, a year off now, but with his size and style doesn't look like a guy with a long career ahead of him.
But at least for a year or two, he belongs in the NFL and is a human club that Hue Jackson will use as much as he reasonably can.
Crap. Looks like Crowell is here long-term, especially now that he's radioactive (and cheaper to re-sign). But hopefully Terrell can teach him how not to fall down when defenders give him dirty looks.
That's the analyst talking. But my inner-fan is hoping and praying that the bigger, stronger Terrell Watson will elbow him out of the way.
I've said and done some incredibly stupid things in my life, and it's very rare that I can say this: I was NEVER that stupid, or that LOW.
Crowell needs to go through some cop training and do some ride-alongs to get his head extracted. Then he needs to tell black kids cops aren't the enemy.
A disproportionate number of murder victims are black, but most of their killers are black too. The Poe-lease are trying to protect the former from the latter, and are treated like enemies.
This is bullcrap. I REMEMBER the dogs and fire hoses and Medgar Evers, and Crowell is a SHEEP being led---
I'm sorry. I'll move on to more important things:
Desmond Bryant might have been THE best defensive player on the Browns, and this one hurts.
I haven't read all the articles, but skimming the titles, one that stood out was that the Browns were hurt by this loss at an "already thin" position.
Well, if the writer meant at left defensive end in Ray Horton's defense, yep. But if he meant defensive line in general, that's just dumb.
This puts Hassan on the fast track, and probably makes him the nominal starter at LDE in Bryant's stead. The remaining guys don't have anywhere near his length, and don't match up well with offensive tackles.
The team remains VERY deep at the other two defensive line spots, and at every spot in situational defensive fronts.
This will effect how Ray Horton uses people: Today's NFL rotates defensive linemen a lot, as they get worn down. Hassan is a rookie used to shorter seasons, and is also light for his position.
Rookies tend to hit a "wall" after week twelve (it's fascinating, really. Their bodies actually seem to be "programmed" to sort of shut down after a specific number of games).
Hassan is in harm's way. He's toe-to-toe with a big goon who is also athletic, and he'll get chipped and cut. The opposing team as of game one will target him with runs. With pulling guards and fullbacks. He's the undersized rookie passrusher, so they'll bully him, try to make him hesitate, and wear him out.
Ray knows all of this, so he might change his plans to use Hassan inside (see earlier post: I think this meant have him biased inside the right tackle and hitting the b-gap). Hassan might now shade outside the right tackle to protect him from the other blockers.
He might scrap any plans he had to put him inside situationally in order to rest him.
He might also use more 4 man fronts to get him off the field.
You must understand that Ogbah, Orchard, and Kruger are all legitimate 4-3 defensive ends (indeed better than Hassan in this front). It's even possible that the bigger/badder Mingo could do just fine here too.
There is no NEED to overuse Hassan here, and that long, tall left defensive end is only critical in one of many potential defensive fronts.
So while Des Bryant will be missed, some of you need to kill the alarm sirens, ok?
Related: Schobert and Kirksey are as good outside as they are inside, the Browns are eyeball deep in real linebackers, and two of the safeties excell in the box.
Back to running back: As a newly-minted Watson fan, I see several logical and rational reasons to hope that he will play more and a certain brainwashed frontrunning ignorant sheep will play less.
Because of his catch radius, and (probably) hand-size, he might well be the better receiver.
Because of his greater reach and size, he looks like a better blocker, either in pass protection or for the run.
Because Watson has no history of being tackled by fingertips or wind-gusts, he's number one here, too.
Crowell did have more success in a zone blocking scheme than with man blocking, and it now looks like the 2016 Browns are going man-heavy.
Crowell is faster, can make people miss, and will make more big plays.
Watson will break more tackles, is probably more reliable, and can literally wear a defense down.
In a two-back, Watson/Johnson makes more sense than Crowell/Johnson, because he is more thunderous to Duke's lightening.
Lots to consider here:
When Duke splits out at wide receiver, Crowell has a slight edge, because he is much more dangerous in space. While Watson will probably be the better pass-protector, and maybe even the more reliable receiver, I am forced to admit that Baah-Baah is more dangerous.
But that's general: Here Watson should be the better/more consistent inside runner. So it's very close, and will vary by situation and opponent.
In a two two-back in which Duke does NOT split out, it's Watson hands-down.
He will be the better lead-blocker, better pass protector should Duke peel out, and of course the better tackle-breaker in the heavier traffic a two-back engenders between the tackles.
Watson had a lot of carries and took a lot of abuse in college. He has had, basically, a year off now, but with his size and style doesn't look like a guy with a long career ahead of him.
But at least for a year or two, he belongs in the NFL and is a human club that Hue Jackson will use as much as he reasonably can.
Crap. Looks like Crowell is here long-term, especially now that he's radioactive (and cheaper to re-sign). But hopefully Terrell can teach him how not to fall down when defenders give him dirty looks.
Monday, July 11, 2016
Projecting the Browns Depth Chart and Sentient Life in Cleveland
I was really impressed by this Fanpost article by "Ezweav" (Dawgs by Nature).
Ez projects the Browns 2016 depth chart. I disagreed with some of this, but the guy backed his play with logic and facts, and I think it would be a lot of fun to argue with him over some brewskies.
I do agree with most of his well thought-out projections.
He hits the ground running by calling Cody Kessler the starting quarterback.
When Skip Bayliss said this, I called him a dumbass, but I can't do that with Ez, because the basis for his opinion was rational, not to mention sentient. He's even half way persuaded me.
I love the fact that Ez comprehends that arm strength is overrated, and that Kessler actually has a decent arm. In his more aggressive 2014 scheme, Kessler threw downfield a lot more, and did so effectively. In 2015, he dinked and dunked, and 2014 never happened.
Like me, Ez had never heard of the guy until Hue (and it WAS Hue) picked him, but after checking some game films, saw a lot to like.
I still lean towards RG3, but like I keep disclaiming, I could be wrong. Nothing this article said about RG3's flaws was inaccurate.
Ez ranks Ivan Drago (McCown) third. Like me, he knows that he really should be the starter, but not on a rebuilding team.
Ez is not afraid of controversy. He projects ex-Bengal monsterback Terrell Davis as the starter over Isaiah Crowell.
Ez feels that Watson fits a smashmouth power scheme better. I like the guy myself, but kinda sorta disagree. In a way. A little.
Ez blames Crow for Bitonio's injury, since it was his back Crow ran into the most. He also doesn't like the fingertip tackles (I agree).
As Ez himself stipulates, the blocking scheme was confused last season, but Crowell did better with zone-blocking. But Ez missed the left-handed scheme that allowed defenses to predict every run through week eleven last season, and the fact that Crow averaged 5.2 ypc after that changed.
He's got Duke Johnson third. It doesn't matter, though: He'll play a ton.
Ez doesn't see him as a feature back. I don't know. I do know that he's a compact 205 and surprisingly hard to take down.
Also, if I'm right about the Baylor influenced spread offense, this favors Crow and Duke over Watson.
I do think that Watson will not be a wall flower at all. He will play a lot.
No surprises on the offensive line.
Ez predicts Coleman and Higgins at wide receiver and Hawk as the primary slot. He likes Payton almost as much as Higgins. I agree 100% with all of this. Except don't count out you know who.
At tight end, Ez stumbled a little. He's got Telfer at number two, Bibbs third, and DeValve fourth.
Telfer is a legit in-line tight end, but I don't see where Ez got the impression that he was a good receiver.
And again, if I'm right about the offensive scheme, both Bibbs and DeValve are better fits.
A note on this: The object of blocking is to keep a defender away from the football. Ok well, if a "tight end" lines up way outside, he is taking a defender away from the football, ok? And he can still get a piece of him, too.
It was truly refreshing to read somebody else saying that the defense's failures vs the run last season weren't the defensive line's fault.
The linebackers were out of position because they couldn't figure out where they were supposed to go. Because the scheme was too complicated.
Ez thinks John Hughes will start opposite Bryant. I think it will be Cooper. Ray Horton's defensive line will shoot gaps, and that's Cooper, not Hughes.
But I like Hughes a lot, so if I'm wrong I guess I will survive somehow.
He blames the coaches for Kruger's bad 2015 and expects him to start.
Duh.
But he's got Mingo starting on the other side! No I'm not disagreeing, just surprised.
Like me, he loves Hassan and Ogbah, but can't expect them to start right away. They'll both play a lot, though.
At inside linebacker, it's DeMario Davis and...Scooby Wright. Well, Ez mentions a bet he made, so I don't think he meant it.
Later on, he says he thinks Schobert will start after he has won his bet. That's about right. I like Kirksey a lot, but Schobert is special, and more advanced than Wright.
I don't know. There's a lot of talent there. I just know that the Browns will be really good at inside linebacker in 16.
Ez knows that Ibraheim Campbell is a stud, and thinks Rahim Moore will be the other starter.
He really sticks his thumb in a lot of eyes by calling Justin Gilbert a starter at cornerback. I love it.
As you know, I think he has a great chance myself. He is physically off the charts, and the rest can be coached. It's up to him, and he's another year older now.
This is not Johnny Manziel here. Justin has been a real punk, but the new coaches are all happy with his attitude and work ethic NOW...why does everybody think they're lying?
I have to give Ez a solid "A" for this. I know he's a genius, because I thought I was reading my own stuff...say, waitaminnit...
Ez projects the Browns 2016 depth chart. I disagreed with some of this, but the guy backed his play with logic and facts, and I think it would be a lot of fun to argue with him over some brewskies.
I do agree with most of his well thought-out projections.
He hits the ground running by calling Cody Kessler the starting quarterback.
When Skip Bayliss said this, I called him a dumbass, but I can't do that with Ez, because the basis for his opinion was rational, not to mention sentient. He's even half way persuaded me.
I love the fact that Ez comprehends that arm strength is overrated, and that Kessler actually has a decent arm. In his more aggressive 2014 scheme, Kessler threw downfield a lot more, and did so effectively. In 2015, he dinked and dunked, and 2014 never happened.
Like me, Ez had never heard of the guy until Hue (and it WAS Hue) picked him, but after checking some game films, saw a lot to like.
I still lean towards RG3, but like I keep disclaiming, I could be wrong. Nothing this article said about RG3's flaws was inaccurate.
Ez ranks Ivan Drago (McCown) third. Like me, he knows that he really should be the starter, but not on a rebuilding team.
Ez is not afraid of controversy. He projects ex-Bengal monsterback Terrell Davis as the starter over Isaiah Crowell.
Ez feels that Watson fits a smashmouth power scheme better. I like the guy myself, but kinda sorta disagree. In a way. A little.
Ez blames Crow for Bitonio's injury, since it was his back Crow ran into the most. He also doesn't like the fingertip tackles (I agree).
As Ez himself stipulates, the blocking scheme was confused last season, but Crowell did better with zone-blocking. But Ez missed the left-handed scheme that allowed defenses to predict every run through week eleven last season, and the fact that Crow averaged 5.2 ypc after that changed.
He's got Duke Johnson third. It doesn't matter, though: He'll play a ton.
Ez doesn't see him as a feature back. I don't know. I do know that he's a compact 205 and surprisingly hard to take down.
Also, if I'm right about the Baylor influenced spread offense, this favors Crow and Duke over Watson.
I do think that Watson will not be a wall flower at all. He will play a lot.
No surprises on the offensive line.
Ez predicts Coleman and Higgins at wide receiver and Hawk as the primary slot. He likes Payton almost as much as Higgins. I agree 100% with all of this. Except don't count out you know who.
At tight end, Ez stumbled a little. He's got Telfer at number two, Bibbs third, and DeValve fourth.
Telfer is a legit in-line tight end, but I don't see where Ez got the impression that he was a good receiver.
And again, if I'm right about the offensive scheme, both Bibbs and DeValve are better fits.
A note on this: The object of blocking is to keep a defender away from the football. Ok well, if a "tight end" lines up way outside, he is taking a defender away from the football, ok? And he can still get a piece of him, too.
It was truly refreshing to read somebody else saying that the defense's failures vs the run last season weren't the defensive line's fault.
The linebackers were out of position because they couldn't figure out where they were supposed to go. Because the scheme was too complicated.
Ez thinks John Hughes will start opposite Bryant. I think it will be Cooper. Ray Horton's defensive line will shoot gaps, and that's Cooper, not Hughes.
But I like Hughes a lot, so if I'm wrong I guess I will survive somehow.
He blames the coaches for Kruger's bad 2015 and expects him to start.
Duh.
But he's got Mingo starting on the other side! No I'm not disagreeing, just surprised.
Like me, he loves Hassan and Ogbah, but can't expect them to start right away. They'll both play a lot, though.
At inside linebacker, it's DeMario Davis and...Scooby Wright. Well, Ez mentions a bet he made, so I don't think he meant it.
Later on, he says he thinks Schobert will start after he has won his bet. That's about right. I like Kirksey a lot, but Schobert is special, and more advanced than Wright.
I don't know. There's a lot of talent there. I just know that the Browns will be really good at inside linebacker in 16.
Ez knows that Ibraheim Campbell is a stud, and thinks Rahim Moore will be the other starter.
He really sticks his thumb in a lot of eyes by calling Justin Gilbert a starter at cornerback. I love it.
As you know, I think he has a great chance myself. He is physically off the charts, and the rest can be coached. It's up to him, and he's another year older now.
This is not Johnny Manziel here. Justin has been a real punk, but the new coaches are all happy with his attitude and work ethic NOW...why does everybody think they're lying?
I have to give Ez a solid "A" for this. I know he's a genius, because I thought I was reading my own stuff...say, waitaminnit...
Sunday, July 10, 2016
Projections Based on Obsolete Data
If I were a Jets fan, I would probably believe this.
Most of it is really smart, as it displays some real insight on the Jets' roster, and real football knowledge. That's why I include the link: This writer does not suck.
However, he makes the same mistake I have made in the past (I think less often recently): He doesn't do enough research on the OTHER team.
This guy predicts a bunch of sack records for the Jets when they play the Browns.
This guy is right to think that the Jets should have a scary pass rush in general. What bothered me was that he picked out the Cleveland Browns as the team they would go apeshit on.
He stipulated Joe Thomas, but essentially labelled the rest of the Browns line "Joe", because Schwartze and Mack are gone.
In reality, the Browns retain two top ten guards. When PFF ranked Mack in the middle among centers, it's downright dumb to label Cam Erving a downgrade at center entering his second season, and FOUR veteran and rookie players are competing to replace Schwartze in a new blocking scheme.
With a head coach who lately had Andy Dalton running rollouts and read-option to minimize pocket passing, it's not wise to expect your passrushers to have a pocket to attack.
With RG3 the presumptive starter (ergo MORE running around and LESS pocket passing), one has to feel even more confused about why this guy expects sack records against this particular team.
I need to mention here that a strong running game makes it harder for a defense to get sacks. In this article, I didn't read any predictions about Hue Jackson not having a respectable running game for the first time in his career.
This writer reminds me of me a long time ago. He knows his team by heart, but he shoots from the hip otherwise.
I use him to make a broader point:
The Cleveland Browns seem to be everybody else's go-to punching bag, but it's all being based on another set of coaches, and at least twenty players who will no longer be on this roster.
If Chris Palmer were the Browns head coach, poor RG3 would be set up right and proper for that Jets pass rush.
But he isn't, and this Jets writer shouldn't get his hopes up.
Most of it is really smart, as it displays some real insight on the Jets' roster, and real football knowledge. That's why I include the link: This writer does not suck.
However, he makes the same mistake I have made in the past (I think less often recently): He doesn't do enough research on the OTHER team.
This guy predicts a bunch of sack records for the Jets when they play the Browns.
This guy is right to think that the Jets should have a scary pass rush in general. What bothered me was that he picked out the Cleveland Browns as the team they would go apeshit on.
He stipulated Joe Thomas, but essentially labelled the rest of the Browns line "Joe", because Schwartze and Mack are gone.
In reality, the Browns retain two top ten guards. When PFF ranked Mack in the middle among centers, it's downright dumb to label Cam Erving a downgrade at center entering his second season, and FOUR veteran and rookie players are competing to replace Schwartze in a new blocking scheme.
With a head coach who lately had Andy Dalton running rollouts and read-option to minimize pocket passing, it's not wise to expect your passrushers to have a pocket to attack.
With RG3 the presumptive starter (ergo MORE running around and LESS pocket passing), one has to feel even more confused about why this guy expects sack records against this particular team.
I need to mention here that a strong running game makes it harder for a defense to get sacks. In this article, I didn't read any predictions about Hue Jackson not having a respectable running game for the first time in his career.
This writer reminds me of me a long time ago. He knows his team by heart, but he shoots from the hip otherwise.
I use him to make a broader point:
The Cleveland Browns seem to be everybody else's go-to punching bag, but it's all being based on another set of coaches, and at least twenty players who will no longer be on this roster.
If Chris Palmer were the Browns head coach, poor RG3 would be set up right and proper for that Jets pass rush.
But he isn't, and this Jets writer shouldn't get his hopes up.
Tuesday, July 5, 2016
RG3's Chances Hue Jackson's Cleveland Browns
Dave Davenport of the Bleacher Report thinks that RG3 is being set up to fail.
This wasn't a bad article, but it was shallow.
Dave quotes somebody else to assert that the starting wide receivers for this season look like Marlon Moore and Coleman. He then compares these two to Green and Brown.
Marlon Moore is not going to start. You can leave Terrell Pryor in the cornfield if you want---let's just use Higgins for giggles.
He acknowledges Gary Barnidge.
He knocks the offensive line and running game based on last season's performance, PFF rankings, and the losses of Mack and Scwartze.
All of that is valid on the surface. But in 2014 the exact same crew ranked near the top until Alex Mack broke his leg.
Scheme, coaching, and situation has much to do with this:
That offensive line performed better with the inside zone than in man. Better under Shanahan than under lefty DeFelipo.
While Schwartze came into his own as an elite right tackle, Alex Mack was in reality pedestrian.
RG3 will NOT be a classic pocket passer, and the blocking scheme will not be conventional. You could say he's being set up to fail if he's ordered to imitate Tom Brady, but he's not.
I've addressed the running game ad nauseam. The five most recent games most accurately reflect what is here now, and that's not bad.
Dave thankfully doesn't include the defense, which last season wore out, played out of position, was confused by an overly complicated scheme, and put Browns quarterbacks (and pass protectors) constantly behind the eight ball.
Much as I like Josh McCown, a quarterback who holds the ball too long isn't doing his bodyguards any favors with PFF either.
I believe that RG3 has a decent chance to succeed here. The offense's commitment to the run (and play action) is genuine, and Hue will run an offense tailored to his unique skills.
He will have several nice targets, including reliable ones like Higgins and Barnidge, and bailout guys like Duke Johnson.
Listen: It's hard for a defense to tee off on a pocket when they're not sure there is going to be one, or if there is, where it will be.
It's harder to get heat on a quarterback when they have to contain him.
It's easier for an offensive line to pass protect when he will be moving. The defenders have to change their trajectories in a predictable way, and again can't tee off.
RG3 could fail. But if he does, it will be his own fault.
This wasn't a bad article, but it was shallow.
Dave quotes somebody else to assert that the starting wide receivers for this season look like Marlon Moore and Coleman. He then compares these two to Green and Brown.
Marlon Moore is not going to start. You can leave Terrell Pryor in the cornfield if you want---let's just use Higgins for giggles.
He acknowledges Gary Barnidge.
He knocks the offensive line and running game based on last season's performance, PFF rankings, and the losses of Mack and Scwartze.
All of that is valid on the surface. But in 2014 the exact same crew ranked near the top until Alex Mack broke his leg.
Scheme, coaching, and situation has much to do with this:
That offensive line performed better with the inside zone than in man. Better under Shanahan than under lefty DeFelipo.
While Schwartze came into his own as an elite right tackle, Alex Mack was in reality pedestrian.
RG3 will NOT be a classic pocket passer, and the blocking scheme will not be conventional. You could say he's being set up to fail if he's ordered to imitate Tom Brady, but he's not.
I've addressed the running game ad nauseam. The five most recent games most accurately reflect what is here now, and that's not bad.
Dave thankfully doesn't include the defense, which last season wore out, played out of position, was confused by an overly complicated scheme, and put Browns quarterbacks (and pass protectors) constantly behind the eight ball.
Much as I like Josh McCown, a quarterback who holds the ball too long isn't doing his bodyguards any favors with PFF either.
I believe that RG3 has a decent chance to succeed here. The offense's commitment to the run (and play action) is genuine, and Hue will run an offense tailored to his unique skills.
He will have several nice targets, including reliable ones like Higgins and Barnidge, and bailout guys like Duke Johnson.
Listen: It's hard for a defense to tee off on a pocket when they're not sure there is going to be one, or if there is, where it will be.
It's harder to get heat on a quarterback when they have to contain him.
It's easier for an offensive line to pass protect when he will be moving. The defenders have to change their trajectories in a predictable way, and again can't tee off.
RG3 could fail. But if he does, it will be his own fault.
Monday, July 4, 2016
Can't Think of a Title: Cleveland Browns something...
I just read a couple of lines in a snarky, sarcastic Browns article by somebody who doesn't do any homework or else is just plain dumb.
The Browns want RG3 to start because he is one of the most gifted athletes in the NFL, and the only quarterback on the roster with the ability to put the team on his shoulders when necessary.
Is that too complicated or something?
Now, you can predict that Hue Jackson won't be able to rehabilitate the guy, and say he's done. That's fair, and you might be right. But the reason they want him to succeed is obvious.
The writer described the rest of the quarterbacks as mediocre, and that was truly ignorant. Sorry to repeat myself, but here we go:
1: Number one wide receiver: Travis Benjamin.
Number two wide receiver: Injured.
Number three wide receiver: You tell me.
2: No running game for most of the season.
3: Broken ribs, separated shoulder, concussion (3a: No time).
4: Constantly playing from behind.
5: McCown had a 92-plus qbr DESPITE all this. That's not mediocre. McCown did the same thing with the Bearss too. (He had a better team then.)
This goober blabbers about McCown might be better or something (I couldn't read it, really I'm allergic to stupid), but that only brings up reason number six why they want RG3 to start:
He is 26. Starting McCown will not get the 2016 Browns to the playoffs. NOTHING will do that. RG3 is still young, and can still improve with experience (notably in the pocket). They know what McCown is. At this point, a go-to backup you hope won't get busted up too soon, a teacher, mentor, and example.
By the way, Josh McCown has been with a lot of teams, but he is OURS now, isn't he? The guts and fire he showed, playing with those injuries...unforgettable. He's a Brown all right, or at least what you want a Brown to be! AND a great person!
Reason number seven is analytical. No Harvard degree required to comprehend this: An average or above performance makes him highly tradeable.
Don't ask why they would trade him ok? They might not but they always want that option.
NON-dumbass Chris Pokorny (Dawgs by Nature) continues his pre-season preview with part 2 of the defensive line.
Chris (and PFF) likes Jamie Meder a lot, and so do I. I don't believe in "overachievers", since none of us really achieve our potentials, but if there were such a thing, it's Meder. He doesn't have a really high ceiling, but he starts out on the third floor.
Chris introduces Nile Lawrence-Stample, who sounds remarkably like John Hughes; a big run-stuffer who CAN get a little penetration and pressure.
Chris thinks he has a shot to be the backup nose tackle, but I say so does John Hughes.
He can't help but point out that X Cooper rated dead last with PFF, but I like Chris a lot because he doesn't go on to suggest he sucks.
Good thing. Chris talks about the importance of stopping the run, but seems to overlook the Ray Horton factor:
This is common: Everybody thinks that a run-stopping defensive line has to two-gap and have guys like Hughes/Meder/Stample, but there are more ways to skin that cat.
The down linemen can one-gap and penetrate, and two inside players (linebackers or one of those and a safety) can plug the leaks (or come with them on run-blitzes for that matter.)
Much depends on the specific opponent and your own personnel, of course. The one-gap has a better chance vs big goons or zone-blocking, but not against g-power with a fast shifty running back, or a running quarterback.
One-gap is also better vs a brainy quick-release quarterback than a mad bomber too, because this scheme offers no pre-snap clues.
Ok-ok you do know that teams don't always run on "obvious run" downs right?
Anyway you don't want Xavier Cooper two-gapping. So stipulated. Mike Pettine had him two-gapping.
He makes the team case closed.
Coaches talked about using Nassib inside:
Well this tells me a lot about their plans:
First, understand that in Horton's scheme the left defensive end needs to have the length and reach to keep the right tackle at bay, and Nassib is "it", period. He HAS to play that position in this defense, because except for the venerable Des Bryant there is nobody else.
So I believe they will have him shaded inside the right tackle, and attacking the strong side b-gap a lot.
How they set the edge and cover to the sidelines is a separate issue, but this makes sense, because you don't want this underweight straight-line rookie trying to stand up right tackles or set the edge anyway.
It gets way deeper because, as I've said, nickels and dimes dominate the NFL today, and it's anybody's guess how Horton will handle that opponent-by-opponent, or where Nassib will fit.
Horton will use everything from one to five down linemen here, and in nickels and dimes Nassib is an unlikely edge player; an outside linebacker will do that.
Based on what Nunn said, they might get really unconventional with Nassib, and actually sometimes put him in the a-gaps.
Seriously, I've never heard this kind of talk before about a player like Nassib:
He does have a major reach advantage over guards and centers, and he is certainly a better athlete, but he's not very strong (yet), he'll find it hard to stay low, his first step is good but not great (like Cooper's), he'll be extra-vulnerable to cut-blocks, and...
Nah! No they might use him as a gap-shooter/pass batter-downer sometimes inside, but I really just think Nunn meant that the left DE will attack the b-gap.
But then, Nunn knows slightly more than I do about this stuff, so if I'm wrong I'm wrong.
But that lde thing is important. It means the left OLB stays outside and sets the edge more.
Having that DE attack the right guard makes it hard on an offense, because it means that right guard had better not pull, can't bother with Shelton or whoever else, and is overmatched by a much faster guy who will jolt him first with a head start.
But everything is a trade-off. Offenses will run away from him, roll the quarterback right, dump off right...they'll have the right tackle jab his pads to unbalance him, then target the edge-player (maybe with a tight end chip or real block), aim a shifty running back between them a lot, etc.
Still, I like it. Nassib or Bryant, with a running start, vs a right guard is a mismatch. Shelton or whoever one-on-one vs a center bodes well too.
Yeah it's risky, but underlying it is that the offense has to do stuff it's not built to do to overcome it, and can't stop penetration. It puts the right tackle out in space vs a superior athlete, pits a guard against a defensive end, gets the defensive end to the pocket, Nassib can tip or bat passes or claw at handoffs, they have to stay deep to get around him...
I picture a right tackle trying to nail Mingo or Ogbah in space. I find that funny to think about. Certain running backs coming behind them make that less funny, but like I said it's a trade-off, and one a defense should win more often than not.
If I'm right, opposing offenses will power run left and attack the right edge on the ground. They will roll out more, and use more short passes inside.
I can't say it won't WORK, but in general offenses are built to run right, throw from a pocket, and not have right tackles in space.
I guess Nunn is analytical too.
Hope I'm not linking to another guy who ripped me off, but this is a good article on why Josh McCown should stick around.
The Browns want RG3 to start because he is one of the most gifted athletes in the NFL, and the only quarterback on the roster with the ability to put the team on his shoulders when necessary.
Is that too complicated or something?
Now, you can predict that Hue Jackson won't be able to rehabilitate the guy, and say he's done. That's fair, and you might be right. But the reason they want him to succeed is obvious.
The writer described the rest of the quarterbacks as mediocre, and that was truly ignorant. Sorry to repeat myself, but here we go:
1: Number one wide receiver: Travis Benjamin.
Number two wide receiver: Injured.
Number three wide receiver: You tell me.
2: No running game for most of the season.
3: Broken ribs, separated shoulder, concussion (3a: No time).
4: Constantly playing from behind.
5: McCown had a 92-plus qbr DESPITE all this. That's not mediocre. McCown did the same thing with the Bearss too. (He had a better team then.)
This goober blabbers about McCown might be better or something (I couldn't read it, really I'm allergic to stupid), but that only brings up reason number six why they want RG3 to start:
He is 26. Starting McCown will not get the 2016 Browns to the playoffs. NOTHING will do that. RG3 is still young, and can still improve with experience (notably in the pocket). They know what McCown is. At this point, a go-to backup you hope won't get busted up too soon, a teacher, mentor, and example.
By the way, Josh McCown has been with a lot of teams, but he is OURS now, isn't he? The guts and fire he showed, playing with those injuries...unforgettable. He's a Brown all right, or at least what you want a Brown to be! AND a great person!
Reason number seven is analytical. No Harvard degree required to comprehend this: An average or above performance makes him highly tradeable.
Don't ask why they would trade him ok? They might not but they always want that option.
NON-dumbass Chris Pokorny (Dawgs by Nature) continues his pre-season preview with part 2 of the defensive line.
Chris (and PFF) likes Jamie Meder a lot, and so do I. I don't believe in "overachievers", since none of us really achieve our potentials, but if there were such a thing, it's Meder. He doesn't have a really high ceiling, but he starts out on the third floor.
Chris introduces Nile Lawrence-Stample, who sounds remarkably like John Hughes; a big run-stuffer who CAN get a little penetration and pressure.
Chris thinks he has a shot to be the backup nose tackle, but I say so does John Hughes.
He can't help but point out that X Cooper rated dead last with PFF, but I like Chris a lot because he doesn't go on to suggest he sucks.
Good thing. Chris talks about the importance of stopping the run, but seems to overlook the Ray Horton factor:
This is common: Everybody thinks that a run-stopping defensive line has to two-gap and have guys like Hughes/Meder/Stample, but there are more ways to skin that cat.
The down linemen can one-gap and penetrate, and two inside players (linebackers or one of those and a safety) can plug the leaks (or come with them on run-blitzes for that matter.)
Much depends on the specific opponent and your own personnel, of course. The one-gap has a better chance vs big goons or zone-blocking, but not against g-power with a fast shifty running back, or a running quarterback.
One-gap is also better vs a brainy quick-release quarterback than a mad bomber too, because this scheme offers no pre-snap clues.
Ok-ok you do know that teams don't always run on "obvious run" downs right?
Anyway you don't want Xavier Cooper two-gapping. So stipulated. Mike Pettine had him two-gapping.
He makes the team case closed.
Coaches talked about using Nassib inside:
Well this tells me a lot about their plans:
First, understand that in Horton's scheme the left defensive end needs to have the length and reach to keep the right tackle at bay, and Nassib is "it", period. He HAS to play that position in this defense, because except for the venerable Des Bryant there is nobody else.
So I believe they will have him shaded inside the right tackle, and attacking the strong side b-gap a lot.
How they set the edge and cover to the sidelines is a separate issue, but this makes sense, because you don't want this underweight straight-line rookie trying to stand up right tackles or set the edge anyway.
It gets way deeper because, as I've said, nickels and dimes dominate the NFL today, and it's anybody's guess how Horton will handle that opponent-by-opponent, or where Nassib will fit.
Horton will use everything from one to five down linemen here, and in nickels and dimes Nassib is an unlikely edge player; an outside linebacker will do that.
Based on what Nunn said, they might get really unconventional with Nassib, and actually sometimes put him in the a-gaps.
Seriously, I've never heard this kind of talk before about a player like Nassib:
He does have a major reach advantage over guards and centers, and he is certainly a better athlete, but he's not very strong (yet), he'll find it hard to stay low, his first step is good but not great (like Cooper's), he'll be extra-vulnerable to cut-blocks, and...
Nah! No they might use him as a gap-shooter/pass batter-downer sometimes inside, but I really just think Nunn meant that the left DE will attack the b-gap.
But then, Nunn knows slightly more than I do about this stuff, so if I'm wrong I'm wrong.
But that lde thing is important. It means the left OLB stays outside and sets the edge more.
Having that DE attack the right guard makes it hard on an offense, because it means that right guard had better not pull, can't bother with Shelton or whoever else, and is overmatched by a much faster guy who will jolt him first with a head start.
But everything is a trade-off. Offenses will run away from him, roll the quarterback right, dump off right...they'll have the right tackle jab his pads to unbalance him, then target the edge-player (maybe with a tight end chip or real block), aim a shifty running back between them a lot, etc.
Still, I like it. Nassib or Bryant, with a running start, vs a right guard is a mismatch. Shelton or whoever one-on-one vs a center bodes well too.
Yeah it's risky, but underlying it is that the offense has to do stuff it's not built to do to overcome it, and can't stop penetration. It puts the right tackle out in space vs a superior athlete, pits a guard against a defensive end, gets the defensive end to the pocket, Nassib can tip or bat passes or claw at handoffs, they have to stay deep to get around him...
I picture a right tackle trying to nail Mingo or Ogbah in space. I find that funny to think about. Certain running backs coming behind them make that less funny, but like I said it's a trade-off, and one a defense should win more often than not.
If I'm right, opposing offenses will power run left and attack the right edge on the ground. They will roll out more, and use more short passes inside.
I can't say it won't WORK, but in general offenses are built to run right, throw from a pocket, and not have right tackles in space.
I guess Nunn is analytical too.
Hope I'm not linking to another guy who ripped me off, but this is a good article on why Josh McCown should stick around.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)